
AI-generated summary
Last week, the Federal Reserve increased the policy rate by 25 basis points to the range of 3.75-4.00%. This decision created an expectation in the markets that interest rates would remain high for a longer time, along with the strengthening of inflation pressures and economic activity.
Spot gold decreased by 0.1 percent to $4,281.98 per ounce. US gold futures contracts did not show a significant change in December delivery and were traded at $ 4 thousand 317.50.
Gold Type Gold Price Gram gold 6.729 TL Quarter gold 11.006 TL Republic gold 43.883 TL Ounce gold 4.284 dollars Half gold 22.006 TL Full gold 43.838 TL Gremse gold 109.931 TL
VT Markets Chief Strategy Officer Ross Maxwell stated that the markets are focusing on whether the Fed will keep interest rates at high levels for longer after last week's interest rate increase.
Maxwell said that investors are also monitoring the movements in the US dollar and Treasury bond yields, and that risks related to oil and energy supply in West Asia are also on the market's agenda.
NEW INTEREST INCREASE EXPECTATIONS CREATE PRESSURE
Maxwell stated that a stronger signal from the Fed regarding a new interest rate increase could increase the downward pressure on gold prices.
Last week, the Fed increased the policy rate by 25 basis points to the range of 3.75-4.00 percent. Increasing inflation pressures and strengthening economic activity support expectations that the bank will maintain its tight monetary policy.
It seems that expectations in the markets that another interest rate increase may occur at the meeting to be held in late October are getting stronger.
OIL DECLINED, GOLD GOT LIMITED SUPPORT
Iran's announcement that it was open to diplomacy to end the war with the USA caused oil prices to decline. However, there are significant differences of opinion between Washington and Tehran on how to end the war.
The decline in oil prices also provided limited support to gold prices, with the expectation that inflationary pressures on energy costs might decrease.
STRONG US DATA AFFECTS INTEREST INTEREST EXPECTATIONS
Data released in the United States on Wednesday revealed that business activity reached its highest level in more than five years in September.
However, strong demand increased the pressure on supply chains and caused prices to rise. This picture strengthens the expectations that the Fed may keep interest rates high as part of the fight against inflation.
Gold, which does not provide interest income, may become less attractive in a high interest rate environment compared to bonds and similar income-generating assets.
'WE DO NOT EXPECT A CLEAR DIRECTION UNDERWAY'
Intesa Sanpaolo economist Daniela Corsini stated that they do not expect a clear direction in the fundamental scenarios for precious metals.
Corsini pointed out that volatility in the markets may remain high and evaluated that gold could be traded at an average of $ 4,200 per ounce for a few quarters.
MIXED TRAVEL IN OTHER PRECIOUS METALS
A mixed outlook was observed in other precious metals.
While spot silver decreased by 0.6 percent to $64.07 per ounce, platinum increased by 0.2 percent to $1,754.05.
Palladium, on the other hand, lost 0.1 percent in value, falling to $1,260.70 per ounce.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Gold prices may fluctuate around $4,200 per ounce in the short term.
Likely · Within weeks
The possibility of a rate hike at the Fed's next meeting may become stronger.
Possible · Within weeks
According to TURKSTAT's September data, the confidence index remained the same in the service sector at 111.9, increased by 1.1 percent in the retail trade sector to 111.3, and decreased by 0.2 percent in the construction sector to 83.
According to European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA) data, new car sales in EU countries increased by 4.5 percent on an annual basis in August, reaching 708 thousand 211.
Within the scope of investigations in the capital market, MASAK forwarded the analysis report of 117 managers working in 4 financial institutions and their affiliates to the Istanbul Chief Public Prosecutor's Office. A transaction attempt worth 2.5 billion lira was stopped with tightened controls.
According to TÜİK data, while the confidence index remained stable in the service sector in September, it increased by 1.1 percent in the retail trade sector and decreased by 0.2 percent in the construction sector.

While the service sector confidence index in Türkiye remained stable at 111.9 in September 2026, the retail trade index increased by 1.1% to 111.3, and the construction sector index decreased by 0.2% to 83.0.

Doğusan Boru Sanayii notified KAP that the management of its main shareholder Doğusan Yatırım İnşaat A.Ş. was transferred to the Savings Deposit Insurance Fund (TMSF) in accordance with the provisions of the CMK.