Analysts see no broader ‘contagion’ from $6.3B Binance hack

Binance’s pledge to cover user losses from its $6.3 billion hack helped contain the fallout across crypto markets, analysts told Cointelegraph.

“There doesn’t seem to be any contagion-type effect from the hack, given that Binance is able to cover the losses using its balance sheet,” Martin Lee, market insights lead at DWF Labs, told Cointelegraph. He said investors turned their focus to the implications of the US midterm elections.

Binance’s daily net outflows fell to $458 million in the 24 hours leading to Monday’s publication time, down from $6.1 billion on Nov. 2 after withdrawals resumed, according to DefiLlama.

Attackers stole about $6.3 billion from Binance hot wallets in the Oct. 29 breach, making it the largest crypto hack to date. Bitcoin (BTC) fell as much as 5.7% over the first five days after the hack, a decline CryptoQuant called “modest” in its Wednesday report.

Bitcoin fell roughly 13.6% after the $1.4 billion Bybit hack in 2025 and about 9.9% after the Coincheck hack in 2018. At least 14 of the past 38 hacks CryptoQuant reviewed were followed by steeper Bitcoin declines.

Major exchange hacks have previously triggered “short-lived drawdowns that markets later absorbed” as long-term holder demand returned, Lacie Zhang, research lead at Bitget Wallet, told Cointelegraph, adding that the Binance hack does not represent a “structural trend reversal” for crypto markets.

“Much of the hack’s impact now looks priced in,” with Bitcoin currently trading at an “attractive level,” Bitfinex analysts told Cointelegraph.

“Confirmation of a market bottom now depends on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading due on 10 November, which will shape the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision. Higher bond yields would put pressure on risk assets.”

Market participants priced in an 80% chance that the Federal Reserve will raise rates at its Dec. 9 meeting, up from 69% a month earlier, according to the CMEGroup’s FedWatch tool.

Bitcoin fell 2.5% over 24 hours to $74,580 as of 1:21 pm UTC on Monday, according to CoinMarketCap.