On Monday, Magdalena Andersson's probe mission was restarted. The conditions are the same as they have been since the election results were determined. Four parties want the S leader as prime minister. The same parties (S, V, C and MP) gather a majority in the Riksdag, 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties. But how this will lead to a new government is still unclear.
One of the most difficult knots to untie is which parties will get ministerial positions. The hardest part is the deadlock between the Left Party, which demands to sit in the government, and the Center, which firmly says no to it.
Keeping the so-called fringe parties out of power is a mantra for the C management. Their voters agree, but the answers in the survey still show differences of degree. The percentage who accept SD ministers is measured in single percents, while V ministers are still conceivable for every tenth center party.
- In our survey, the centrist voters give a clear signal about what they want to see. They have a strong desire for both the Center Party and the Social Democrats to be included, and there is some support for also including the Green Party, says Nicklas Källebring, opinion analyst at Ipsos.
Roughly eight out of ten centrist parties want S in the government. Significantly fewer want any of the bourgeois Tidö parties.
Magdalena Andersson is the unchallenged favorite of the C voters as Prime Minister. Those who prefer Ulf Kristersson (M) can be counted in single-digit percentages.
According to DN/Ipsos, the V leadership has very strong support from its own voters when demanding ministerial positions. At the same time, two out of three leftists are open to sharing power with C.
- Looking at what their own voters think, the Left Party has more room for compromise than the Center in the matter of government, says Nicklas Källebring.
The social democratic voters' favorite partner in an S-led government is the Center Party, closely followed by the Green Party. Regarding the Left Party, they are deeply divided.
Just under half of the S voters want V in the government, just over half can accept it. It also appears from the survey that those who are positive are more than those who are negative.
- If Magdalena Andersson forms a government without the Left Party, it will be an educational task to explain it to her own voters, says Nicklas Källebring.
There is still no doubt about how the S voters rank. About seven out of ten want to include C in the government, only a few percent are negative about it.
The DN/Ipsos survey highlights the Center Party's middle position. Voters of six parties, from MP to KD, are overwhelmingly in favor of letting C participate and govern. Only among those who vote for V or SD is the attitude towards C essentially negative.
- The Center Party is bourgeois in economic policy, but in values and cultural matters it is closer to the red-greens. Different voters can look positively at different aspects of the party, says Nicklas Källebring.
Ulf Kristersson has spoken of there being a "non-socialist" majority in the Riksdag, consisting of the Tidöparties plus C, and hinted that it could be the basis for a government led by him. However, much speaks against it in the DN/Ipsos survey: both C voters' antipathy towards giving SD influence and their lack of interest in letting Ulf Kristersson continue as prime minister.
