
The opposition leads by 12 percentage points amid disapproval of Trump's economic management and high inflation.
AI-generated summary
The research reflects the impact of the conflict between the USA and Iran on the American economy. Accumulated inflation reached 3.7% in September.
According to the survey, carried out over four days, if the elections were held today, the opposition would have an advantage of 12 percentage points, with 47% of voters voting for Democrats, against 35% for Republicans - the biggest difference recorded since the beginning of the current electoral cycle.
Currently, control of the House of Representatives and the Senate is in the hands of Republicans and Democrats are fighting to change this scenario. A defeat in one or both houses of the US Congress could make it difficult to pass Trump's agenda in the last two years of his second term.
The drop in the president's popularity intensified after the war between the United States and Iran, which began at the end of February with support from Israel. The conflict caused a rise in fuel prices in several parts of the world and affected one of Trump's main political assets, which was his economic policy.
And the cost of living is the main concern of American voters in the campaign for the midterm legislative elections.
Although inflation is currently at a lower level than that recorded during Joe Biden's government, prices have accelerated again. In September, 12-month inflation reached 3.7%, above the 2.7% recorded two years ago, when Trump won the presidential election.
According to the survey, 68% of Americans disapprove of the way the president runs the economy. Respondents consider Democrats more capable of managing the issue, by 40% to 33%.
In North Carolina, a traditionally conservative state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate in 20 years, the issue of inflation could pave the way for the election of a Democratic candidate to the Senate.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted online among 1,679 American adults, including 1,279 registered voters. The margin of error is two percentage points for the total sample and three points for registered voters.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Possible election of a Democrat to the Senate in North Carolina.
Possible · Within months
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