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BackBai Chongen on China's Economic Resilience and Growth Potential
Bai Chongen on China's Economic Resilience and Growth Potential
NEWS
SCMP Economy5/3/2026Business1 min readChina

Bai Chongen on China's Economic Resilience and Growth Potential

Tsinghua University Dean contrasts China's development stage with Japan's historical economic bubble

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Economist Bai Chongen argues that China's status as a middle-income country with a massive population and strong commercialization capabilities distinguishes it from Japan's economic trajectory.

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Bai Chongen is a prominent Chinese economist and government adviser. He is the dean of Tsinghua University’s School of Economics and Management and serves concurrently as vice-chairman of the All-China Federation of Industry and Commerce. From 2015 to 2018, he was a member of the Chinese central bank’s monetary policy committee.

"The fundamental difference is our stage of development. We are still a middle-income country; Japan was already a fully developed, high-income economy when its bubble burst. China still possesses massive headroom for growth."

"And Chinese enterprises exhibit tremendous drive and capacity. Japan was highly innovative too, but it has struggled with commercialisation in recent years – translating that innovation into marketable products. That is exactly what China excels at."

"We are a demographic behemoth. Japan is not small, but our population is more than 10 times larger. In a megamarket, innovation yields significantly higher returns and commercialising technology generates greater economies of scale."

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This article was originally published by SCMP Economy.

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