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Back黃金價格週一下跌,受強勁美國就業報告影響
黃金價格週一下跌,受強勁美國就業報告影響
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

黃金價格週一下跌,受強勁美國就業報告影響

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黃金價格週一下跌0.4%,報每盎司4410.55美元,此前強勁美國就業報告強化市場對聯準會升息預期,投資人等待關鍵通膨數據以尋找貨幣政策線索。

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Why It Matters

黃金傳統上被視為抗通膨工具,但較高利率會降低其吸引力。近期美國就業數據強勁,失業率維持在4.1%,市場預期聯準會將在9月16日政策會議上升息。

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黃金價格週一(7日)下跌。(路透)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕黃金價格週一(7日)下跌,此前,上週五(4日)公布的強勁美國就業報告強化了市場對聯準會本月升息的預期,而投資人則等待關鍵通膨數據,以進一步尋找有關貨幣政策前景的線索。

現貨黃金下跌0.4%,報每盎司4410.55美元。由於美國適逢假日,交易量偏低,12月交割的美國黃金期貨下跌0.5%,報每盎司4456.40美元。

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盛寶銀行(Saxo Bank)大宗商品策略主管漢森(Ole Hansen)表示:「黃金與白銀的走勢與能源價格相反,在上週五強勁的美國就業報告推升債券殖利率、並強化市場對聯準會9月16日升息的預期後,金銀延續跌勢。」

他表示:「在今天的交易中,黃金兩度在4400美元下方獲得買盤支撐,遠高於約4320美元的關鍵支撐位;與此同時,4500美元上方持續出現賣壓。」

上週公布的數據顯示,美國8月就業成長大幅加速,而失業率維持在4.1%不變。

根據CME FedWatch工具,交易員認為聯準會下週政策會議升息的機率為60%,高於就業數據公布前的50%。

美國生產者物價指數(PPI)數據將於週四(10日)公布,而消費者物價指數(CPI)數據則預定於隔天(11日)公布。

隨著週末針對航運的相互攻擊推升油價,加上伊朗表示將在未來幾天宣布海灣地區新的限制區域,並公布一條穿越荷姆茲海峽的新航運走廊地圖,市場對通膨的擔憂仍處於高檔。

儘管黃金通常被視為抗通膨工具,但較高的利率往往會降低不生息黃金對投資人的吸引力。

然而,美國總統川普週五表示,除非聯準會降息,否則他將停止與美國存在貿易逆差的國家進行貿易。

其他貴金屬方面,現貨白銀小幅上漲0.1%,報每盎司66.24美元;鉑金上漲0.5%,報1827美元;鈀金上漲0.2%,報1389.72美元。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 聯準會將在下週政策會議上升息

    Likely · Within days

  • 週四PPI與週五CPI數據將為市場提供關鍵貨幣政策線索

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 週四PPI與週五CPI數據將如何影響聯準會決策?
  • 伊朗在海灣地區的新限制區域將對全球油價產生何種影響?
  • 川普針對貿易逆差國家的威脅是否將轉化為實質政策?

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