
BBC駐北美記者安東尼·澤克爾分析美國國會選舉情勢
美國民主黨贏得聯邦眾議院控制權,並朝著翻轉參議院邁進。安妮·安德魯斯擊敗由林賽·格雷厄姆去世後獲任命的達琳·格雷厄姆,喬恩·奧索夫在喬治亞州連任,羅伊·庫珀在北卡羅來納州擊敗邁克爾·沃特利。民主黨也贏得佛羅里達州、肯塔基州等地眾議院空缺席位,並重新贏回佛羅里達州拉丁裔選民支持。
AI-generated summary
這是美國國會選舉之夜,民主黨不僅贏得聯邦眾議院控制權,也正朝著翻轉參議院邁進。安妮·安德魯斯擊敗由林賽·格雷厄姆去世後獲任命的達琳·格雷厄姆,喬恩·奧索夫在喬治亞州連任,羅伊·庫珀在北卡羅來納州擊敗邁克爾·沃特利。民主黨也贏得佛羅里達州、肯塔基州等地眾議院空缺席位,並重新贏回佛羅里達州拉丁裔選民支持。
這對美國民主黨而言已經注定是一個歷史性的夜晚。該黨不僅贏得美國聯邦眾議院控制權,也正朝著翻轉參議院邁進。
民主黨首先在參議院取得一場令人震驚的勝利。安妮·安德魯斯擊敗達琳·格雷厄姆,後者是在其兄長、參議員林賽·格雷厄姆去世後獲任命接替該席位。
即使在幾個月前,也幾乎沒有分析人士認為這個席位有變數。
兩場一年前還被認為將勢均力敵的參議院選舉,如今都成為民主黨輕鬆取勝的選戰,包括喬治亞州的喬恩·奧索夫成功連任,以及共和黨掌握的北卡羅來納州空缺席位。
在北卡羅來納州的這場選戰中,前民主黨州長羅伊·庫珀擊敗共和黨內部人士邁克爾·沃特利。這是民主黨奪回參議院控制權所需四個席位中的第一個。隨着南卡羅來納州到手,他們已經完成了一半目標。
如今,外界的注意力已轉向得州、堪薩斯州和俄亥俄州等共和黨掌握的參議院席位的點票結果。
BBC在美國的合作夥伴哥倫比亞廣播公司認為,得州和堪薩斯州的參議院選戰傾向民主黨。至於得州州長選舉,一年前現任共和黨州長格雷格·阿博特還被視為穩操勝券,如今已被視為勝負難料。
與此同時,民主黨自2022年以來首次贏得眾議院多數席位。
觀察幾場關鍵選戰,便能看出其中原因。
在佛羅里達州,共和黨控制的州議會重新劃定了三個由民主黨掌握的選區邊界,使共和黨更容易勝出。
然而,他們三席全失。
州內其他眾議院選戰原本被共和黨認為可以輕鬆取勝,如今卻陷入激烈纏鬥。
例如,民主黨在北卡羅來納州西部和肯塔基州奪下空缺席位,並且看來極有機會在弗吉尼亞州和印第安納州擴大戰果。
他們的勝利得益於民主黨支持者踴躍投票,尤其是南方各州的黑人選民,同時也重新贏回佛羅里達州的拉丁裔選民。而在僅僅兩年前,這些選民還支持共和黨。
在南卡羅來納州以黑人居民為主的縣份中,民主黨參議員候選人安德魯斯的得票表現明顯優於賀錦麗在2024年總統選舉中的成績。
而在邁阿密—戴德縣,特朗普當年曾在此勝出,如今民主黨候選人已重回領先位置。
如果說保守派還有一線希望,那就是整體而言佛羅里達州似乎仍偏向右翼。
共和黨參議員阿什莉·穆迪以些微優勢成功連任,眾議員拜倫·唐納茲參選州長也順利勝出。但這個「陽光之州」或許將成為共和黨為數不多的亮點之一。
雖然選民情緒似乎已全面轉向,不利於總統唐納德·特朗普和共和黨,但美國幅員遼闊,各地擁有獨特的地理與人口特徵。
民主黨在東部選情大好,未必代表全國各地都會有同樣表現。然而,美國中部地區的初步結果似乎正追隨東岸的趨勢。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
民主黨將翻轉參議院控制權
Likely · Within days
得州州長選舉勝負難料
Possible · Within days

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