Will the chance of attacking Iran decrease after the US election? Trump: There is positive momentum towards the end of the war

After the U.S. Republican Party suffered a heavy defeat in the midterm elections, the Trump administration downplayed the possibility of using force against Iran again. President Trump said that there is "positive momentum" towards ending the war and that further strikes are now "quite unlikely"; Secretary of State Rubio said that U.S. economic pressure is working and there is no need to launch large-scale military operations at this time.

Agence France-Presse reported on the 10th that Trump issued a message on the 10th about his meeting with Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani at the White House the day before, saying that the US military was "ready", but that Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and other countries "will want to maintain the status quo", that is, the continued naval blockade of Iran and the new "Iron Gate" Gate) land transport blockade, therefore, further strikes are "quite unlikely" at this time. "We are seeing a positive momentum towards ending this conflict."

Rubio also echoed Trump's statement after attending the Foreign Ministers' Meeting of the Group of Seven Major Industrial Countries (G7) in Paris on the 10th, saying that the United States' economic pressure on Iran is "extremely destructive" and "there is no need to launch large-scale combat operations at the moment" and has made its position clear to its allies.

Agence France-Presse pointed out that Iran's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz led to high oil prices, which was a major factor in the Republican Party's defeat; Washington apparently downplayed the possibility of restarting strikes after the election defeat.

The Financial Times quoted a diplomat who was briefed on the meeting between Trump, Vice President Vance and Qatari Prime Minister as saying that the meeting was "positive" and "agreeing that diplomacy is the preferred way to reach an agreement." Leaders of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Türkiye and Qatar have also recently urged Trump to give more time to diplomacy.

The report pointed out that regional countries are worried that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continues to lobby Trump to restart military strikes. A person familiar with the matter said, "Natanyahu calls (Trump urges to resume the war) every day." Opposition to the resumption of the war, both inside and outside the White House, has been trying to prevent it. An Israeli source said that Netanyahu hopes to resume the strike, but has not "urged" Trump to do so.

Iran stated that if the United States accepts conditions such as ending the war and lifting blockades and sanctions, the proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within two days will still be valid. It emphasized that neither military means nor strengthening sanctions can resolve the conflict. "The only solution is diplomacy" to deal with Iran's conditions and demands.

Iranian political analyst Ali Bigdeli pointed out that the results of the U.S. midterm elections seem to have made "Iran less flexible, while the United States has become more flexible." Although the conditions proposed by Iran are difficult for the United States to accept, "direct dialogue" may have an effect.