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BackBenedita da Silva lidera pesquisa Datafolha para Senado no Rio de Janeiro
Benedita da Silva lidera pesquisa Datafolha para Senado no Rio de Janeiro
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Folha Poder1 hour agoPolitics1 min readBrazilView translation

Benedita da Silva lidera pesquisa Datafolha para Senado no Rio de Janeiro

Quick Look

  • Deputada federal Benedita da Silva (PT) lidera com 26% das intenções de voto válido para o Senado pelo Rio de Janeiro, segundo pesquisa Datafolha divulgada neste sábado (3).
  • Carlos Jordy (PL) e Carlos Portinho (PL) estão em empate técnico com 19% e 18%, respectivamente.
  • A pesquisa ouviu 2.010 eleitores entre sexta-feira (2) e sábado (3), com margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

A pesquisa foi divulgada na véspera das eleições e é a quinta realizada pelo Datafolha sobre o cenário eleitoral do Rio de Janeiro, com cenários semelhantes.

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Na véspera das eleições, a deputada federal Benedita da Silva (PT) se mantém na liderança na disputa para uma cadeira no Senado pelo Rio de Janeiro, de acordo com pesquisa divulgada neste sábado (3) pelo Datafolha.

A petista, ex-senadora, registra 26% das intenções de votos válidos. Dois candidatos aparecem em empate técnico pela segunda vaga em disputa este ano.

O deputado federal Carlos Jordy (PL) aparece com 19% das intenções de votos válidos, em empate técnico com o senador Carlos Portinho (PL), com 18%.

O deputado federal Pedro Paulo (PSD) tem 13%. A vereadora Mônica Benício (PSOL) registra 9% das intenções de votos válidos. O deputado federal Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) tem 6%.

O cálculo das intenções de votos válidos desconsidera os entrevistados que declararam voto nulo, branco ou estar indeciso. O procedimento é comparável ao utilizado pela Justiça Eleitoral para contabilizar e divulgar o resultado oficial da eleição.

Contratada pela Folha e pela TV Globo, a pesquisa do Datafolha, registrada no TSE sob o número RJ- 01334/2026, ouviu 2.010 eleitores de sexta-feira (2) a este sábado. A margem de erro é de dois pontos percentuais para mais ou para menos.

Esta é a quinta pesquisa do Datafolha sobre o cenário eleitoral do Rio de Janeiro, com cenários semelhantes.

O ex-prefeito de Belford Roxo Waguinho (Republicanos) foi citado por 3% dos entrevistados que escolheram um candidato. Marcos Dias (Podemos) aparece com 2%.

Aparecem com 1% das intenções de votos válidos Helio Secco (Missão), Paula Falcão (PSTU), o ex-procurador-geral de Justiça Luciano Mattos (PRTB) e Michelly Xavier (UP). Não pontuaram Vinicius Benevides (UP), Luiz Eugênio (PCO) e Ó Clemente (Democrata).

Entre todos os entrevistados, 15% afirmaram ainda estar indecisos e 14% declararam que vão invalidar o voto (nulo ou branco).

Open Questions

  • Qual será o impacto da margem de erro de dois pontos percentuais no resultado final?
  • Como os indecisos (15%) e os que pretendem anular o voto (14%) podem influenciar o resultado?
  • Haverá novas pesquisas antes da eleição para confirmar essa tendência?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by Folha Poder.

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