
Bitcoin rebounds from $67,500 low while markets adjust to October PPI data and Federal Reserve rate hike probabilities.
AI-generated summary
The US Producer Price Index tracks changes in prices received by domestic producers. Bitcoin has faced significant downward pressure in Q4 2026.
Bitcoin (BTC) hovered around $68,700 following Friday’s Wall Street open, rebounding from an earlier dip to roughly $67,500.
Bitcoin failed to reclaim the $70,000 mark after hitting about $67,500 on Friday, its lowest level since mid-August.
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 6.5% year over year in October, 0.1 percentage points below expectations but still the largest increase since November 2022.
Rekt Capital warned that a weekly close below $73,000 could mark Bitcoin’s third break of that support level in 2026.
Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD down 4% on the day after bouncing from a roughly 12-week low near $67,500.
The US Producer Price Index, which tracks changes in the prices domestic producers receive for their goods and services, rose 0.3% month over month and 6.5% year over year in October. Both readings were 0.1 percentage points below market expectations but the annual increase was the largest since November 2022.
“Leading the October advance in final demand prices, the index for final demand goods increased 0.5 percent. Prices for final demand services moved up 0.2 percent,” the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Friday.
Stocks showed little sign of relief at the start of the US trading session, with traders still parsing developments around Nvidia after its co-founder and CEO, Jensen Huang, resigned on Thursday.
The S&P 500 was down 1.2% at the time of writing, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index was 1.5% lower.
The PPI release led markets to slightly adjust expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes. Odds of a minimal 25-basis-point hike at the Fed’s December meeting rose from 85.4% on Thursday to 89.7%, while odds of a larger 50-basis-point move decreased from 14.5% to 10.3%, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
Economist Robin Brooks described a 25-basis-point hike in December as “all but inevitable.” He argued, however, against a steeper increase, seeing it as ineffective in the face of current inflation drivers: the oil-price spike from the US-Iran war and potential long-term acceleration in underlying inflation.
“If high inflation is about the Strait of Hormuz and oil, 75 basis points won’t do anything about that. If the issue is that the pace of underlying inflation has risen, then 75 basis points is much too timid to get this under control,” he wrote.
Crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital warned that a BTC close below $73,000 on Sunday would mark a support breakdown already seen in 2026.
“Last week’s Weekly Candle Closed below 3 Weekly levels,” he wrote on X, referring to $75,000, $76,800 and $78,300. “This Weekly Candle looks set to do something similar. Which is testament to sell-side momentum still gaining and the bears being in control.”
After each of the two previous breakdowns, Bitcoin fell to around $60,000.
At $68,700, BTC/USD is down 17.7% in the fourth quarter and 11.2% month to date. The quarterly performance is currently Bitcoin’s second worst on record, data from CoinGlass confirms.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Federal Reserve to implement 25-basis-point hike in December
Likely · Within weeks

Bitcoin fell to roughly $68,500 on Friday, its lowest price in 12 weeks, as renewed U.S. inflation worries and investor withdrawals pushed the cryptocurrency lower. BTC was down about 4.5% over 24 hours and 9.5% for the week. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee warned inflation had spread beyond energy and tariffs, while Fed Governor Christopher Waller supported a quarter-point rate hike at the December 8-9 meeting, with a half-point possible if October CPI data came in strong. Core CPI subsequently rose exactly 0.3%, meeting Waller's condition. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs registered six consecutive sessions of net outflows totaling approximately $1.49 billion between November 5 and November 12. Technical indicators show bearish momentum, with immediate support around $67,650 and deeper support near $64,000. Traders now watch the Fed's November 18 meeting minutes and the November 25 PCE inflation report ahead of December's interest-rate decision.

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