Brazil, Quaest poll gives Flávio Bolsonaro at 46% and Lula at 44%

Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are separated by just two percentage points in the race for the presidency of Brazil: the right-wing candidate has 46% of voting intentions, against 44% for the outgoing president, in view of the run-off on 25 October. This is what emerges from a survey by the Quaest institute released on Wednesday evening. The two candidates are in technical parity, considering the margin of error of two percentage points. The undecided are 1%, while 9% declare that they will vote blank or nothing or will not go to the polls.

The survey, commissioned by the Globo group, was conducted between 10 and 13 October on 2,154 people aged at least 16 years. The poll also records a 48% disapproval for the actions of Lula, leader of the Workers' Party (PT), compared to an approval of 45%. As for the rejection rate, 54% of those interviewed declared that they would not vote for Flávio Bolsonaro, a member of the Liberal Party (PL), while 53% excluded voting for Lula. 53% also believe that Flávio Bolsonaro will win the run-off, while 35% expect Lula to be re-elected.

In the first round on October 4, Flávio Bolsonaro had obtained 47.03% of valid votes, against 45.16% for the outgoing president.