
The government could use 49.3 or ordinances to pass budgets without a vote, in the absence of a majority.
AI-generated summary
The draft state budget for 2027 was rejected at first reading in the National Assembly. The text is transmitted to the Senate. The budget calendar is being refined with precise deadlines for the PLF and the PLFSS.
After the rejection of the draft state budget for 2027 in the National Assembly at first reading, the text is transmitted to the Senate and the budget calendar is refined. In the absence of a majority and compromise with the oppositions, the government could be forced, potentially as early as the end of November on the Social Security budget, to choose between two tools to have the budgets adopted without a vote. Either 49.3 which would expose it to possible censorship, or the ordinances, an unprecedented procedure and considered brutal, which would make it possible to implement a budget, even if the government was subsequently censored. Here are the deadlines for the coming weeks.
State budget (PLF)
November 20: start of examination of the finance bill (PLF) in the Senate chamber.
December 9: solemn vote in the Senate on the entire PLF.
From December 9: convening of a joint committee (CMP) bringing together seven deputies and seven senators in order to seek a compromise version between the Assembly and the Senate. If there is an agreement, vote on this compromise copy in both chambers. If there is no agreement, new reading of the PLF in the Assembly then in the Senate. The Assembly can then be submitted for final reading.
At any time, the government can activate article 49.3 of the Constitution before the deputies, to avoid an unfavorable vote. But if it were censored immediately, the text would be rejected.
On Thursday, December 17, the 70-day parliamentary review period, set by the Constitution for the state budget, expires at midnight. From this date, the government can proceed by ordinance to pass the text without a vote, but it is not obliged to do so.
Social Security Budget (PLFSS)
November 9: start of examination of the Social Security financing bill (PLFSS) in the Senate chamber.
November 18: solemn vote in the Senate on the entire text.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The government will activate article 49.3 or use ordinances to pass the state budget without a vote.
Possible · Within weeks
A joint committee will be convened from December 9 if the Senate adopts the PLF.
Likely · Within weeks
The National Assembly unanimously rejected the draft state budget for 2027 after ten days of debate. The text will arrive in the Senate on November 20 in its initial version. Minister Sébastien Lecornu will have to find compromises to avoid censorship, while no agreement is currently emerging with the oppositions.
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