
AI-generated summary
The forecast was made against the background of a slowdown in sales of new cars in Russia in the summer-autumn of 2026, when sales lag behind last year’s figures for the third month in a row.
By the end of 2026, the total sales volume of new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Russia will be about 1.4-1.42 million units. This forecast was given by the head of the strategy, planning and product management department of the Russian division of Great Wall Motors (GWM), Alexander Zubik. His words are quoted by the Izvestia newspaper.
Next year, the company expects a more restrained growth in sales - no more than 4 percent compared to the 2026 figure. A number of factors will contribute to the slowdown in sales growth. “We believe that it is unlikely that circumstances will develop in an extremely favorable way,” Zubik concluded.
The situation will be increasingly pressured by expensive car loans, tightening regulation of loans from the Central Bank, rising prices for logistics, as well as the weakening of the ruble. These factors, taking into account the regular increase in recycling collection, will put pressure on demand in the domestic market, Zubik concluded.
In the summer and autumn, an alarming trend emerged on the Russian market. Sales of new cars are slower than last year for the third month in a row, industry officials said. Given the current realities, one cannot expect a surge in sales in the foreseeable future, experts agree.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Sales of new passenger cars and light commercial vehicles in Russia in 2026 will amount to 1.4-1.42 million units
Likely · Within months
In 2027, the growth in sales of new cars in Russia will not exceed 4% compared to 2026
Likely · Within months

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Sales of new cars in Russia for the third month in a row lag behind last year's figures due to the Central Bank's tight monetary policy, logistical difficulties, increased recycling fees and a weak ruble. According to Great Wall Motors forecasts, sales of 1.4–1.42 million passenger cars and light commercial vehicles are expected in 2026, and an increase of no more than 4% in 2027.

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