Around this year's National Day (10/10), when Chinese people are celebrating the festival, the sea and airspace around the Taiwan Strait are not calm. Recently, the Ministry of National Defense has released multiple real-time updates. The PRC military aircraft and ships have continued to cooperate with the coast guard ships, going out to sea on a large scale under the guise of "joint combat readiness patrols", crossing the central line of the Taiwan Strait on multiple occasions, and intruding on our northern, central and southwest airspace. This kind of integration of high-intensity military presence into Taiwanese people's festivals and daily life is by no means a simple threat of force. In strategic essence, it is a typical reappearance of the classical military art of "hiding the enemy from the sky" in modern non-linear conflicts.
Use Thirty-Six Stratagems of War to When Abnormality Becomes Normal
The core idea of the first plan of "Thirty-Six Strategies", "Hide the Heaven and Cross the Sea", is "If it is common, there is no doubt, Yin is within Yang." The essence is not to cover up the entire operation, but to hide the true intention in open, routine and frequent daily activities. The current military dynamics of the Communist Army around the Taiwan Strait are precisely by creating a "dynamic daily routine" in an attempt to dispel the alertness of Taiwan's military and civilians, so that "abnormalities" will gradually become accustomed to "normalcy."
From training to performance, from performance to combat, the trap in the gray area
According to the sudden attack scenario of "from training to practice, and from practice to combat", gray zone harassment provides extremely valuable tactical cover. In traditional strategic theory, large-scale force forwarding, oil bomb stationing and deployment adjustments will inevitably trigger strong strategic warnings; however, when high-intensity force forwarding and sea and air blockade drills are packaged as daily routine "police patrols", the real attack launch point is successfully hidden in a large amount of normal data. This not only greatly shortens the tactical response time of the national army and its allies, but also attempts to create a "crying wolf" paralysis effect, achieving the effect of killing a soldier or launching a surprise attack.
In addition, this strategy has the dual characteristics of "conspiracy" and "conspiracy". Normally, it is used as a "conspiracy" to exert psychological pressure and consume the national army's response resources and hardware life by "slicing sausages"; once the decision is made to fight, this normal deployment can be converted into a "conspiracy" for a surprise attack.
Faced with the Communist Army's strategic layout of "playing with life for a long time" to the extreme, Taiwan Strait defense must implement the practical spirit of "integrating peace and war". To deal with "disguising war with drills", in addition to routine monitoring, we must also implement decentralized supervision and transfer mechanisms between peacetime and wartime on a daily basis. At the same time, we accurately identified the symptoms of "transition from exercise to war" such as abnormalities in the Communist army's logistics supply and chain of command, and relied on immediate preparations, mobile deployment, and independent response and resilience in the combat zone to provide immediate pre-emptive and countermeasures to crack its "hiding behind the scenes" plan, making it difficult for the Communist army to gain the advantage of surprise attacks.
