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Back說來殘酷但很現實 外媒:沒有黃仁勳 台灣晶片大戲照樣精彩!
說來殘酷但很現實 外媒:沒有黃仁勳 台灣晶片大戲照樣精彩!
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自由时报23 minutes agoBusiness3 min readChinaView translation

說來殘酷但很現實 外媒:沒有黃仁勳 台灣晶片大戲照樣精彩!

美媒報導指出,台灣晶片產業的繁榮主要受市場需求驅動,而非單一高管個人行為。

Quick Look

針對黃仁勳婚外情風波,市場分析師指出,輝達與台積電的合作關係穩固,且全球對尖端晶片需求強勁,該事件預計不會對台積電業務造成實質影響。

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Why It Matters

輝達是台積電最大客戶,貢獻其約五分之一收入。台積電生產全球九成以上最先進微晶片。

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近幾年,黃仁勳已成為人工智慧產業最受矚目的人物之一,而人工智慧的很大一部分都依賴輝達的圖形處理器。同時,輝達是台積電最大的客戶,貢獻台積電約五分之一的收入。黃仁勳的台灣背景也鞏固這種關係,他經常回台灣宣傳、展現超人氣,深獲民眾喜愛。這次圍繞黃仁勳婚外情的風波,是否會對台積電業務造成影響,美媒《商業內幕》(Business Insider)報導,無論有沒有黃仁勳,台灣晶片產業大戲仍將持續上演。

市場研究公司Counterpoint Research產業高級分析師威廉.李(William Li)表示,黃仁勳是台積電最大客戶的代表人物,也是台積電最著名的支持者之一,但他婚外情的風波可能不會對台積電的業務造成影響。

即使黃仁勳辭去輝達執行長,也不會對台積電造成太大的直接影響,台積電生產全球90%以上的最先進微晶片,去年收入高達1220億美元。

李說:「我們認為,對尖端晶圓的需求比任何一位高管都大,而且我們目前還沒有看到輝達放慢腳步或實際削減台積電訂單的跡象」。

李說:「真正能影響到台灣的管道是政策驅動的,與醜聞本身無關,主要是更嚴格的美國出口管制和對流向中國的晶片進行更嚴格的審查。」這可能會影響GPU製造商的收入,進而波及台積電。但分析師表示,這種可能性不大。

李表示,即使輝達在中國的收入下降,美國超大規模人工智慧產業的其他部分,由於對運算能力的需求旺盛,可能會填補這一缺口,大量購買台積電的晶片。

顧問公司Gartner的副總裁兼新興市場動態研究主管古普塔(Gaurav Gupta)表示,「目前來看,並沒有看到輝達事件對他們產生任何影響」。

古普塔表示,失去黃仁勳本人並不是台積電該擔心的挑戰。他說:「在供應受限的環境下,對人工智慧基礎設施建設的需求十分強勁」,他並補充說,科技領導者「不應該被」對黃仁勳的調查分散注意力。

古普塔指出,台灣的供應鏈和台積電對人工智慧產業來說太重要了。他說:「只有當領導層變動或安全調查結果牽涉到輝達,並對投資者信心產生負面影響或導致交易放緩時,才有可能減緩人工智慧資料中心的建設」。古普塔補充說,這種趨勢將會影響整個半導體產業,而不僅僅是台積電。

此外,當被問及黃仁勳醜聞及其對輝達與台積電關係的潛在影響時,輝達發言人告訴《商業內幕》:「我們與台積電以及更廣泛的供應鏈的合作關係一如既往地牢固。」

Open Questions

  • 輝達未來是否會調整高層人事結構?

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