
Ukraine claims lack of prior warning of Russian missile attack... Concerns spread over disruption of U.S. information sharing
AI-generated summary
Ukraine has relied on Western intelligence assets to identify signs of Russian attacks. Recently, the United States has been using information sharing as a means of putting pressure on Ukraine to stop its attacks on Russian oil refineries.
Ukraine claimed for the second day in a row that it received no early warning from the West before Russia's missile attack on Kiev, raising concerns that the Donald Trump administration may have cut off intelligence sharing.
According to the New York Times (NYT), Russia launched a missile attack on Kieu on the night of the 12th (local time). The air raid alarm went off only after the missile was launched, giving residents no time to evacuate. During the second ballistic missile attack on the night of the 13th, the alarm sounded late.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky wrote on social media, "Russia launched a missile attack on Kiev, but once again there was no warning from our partners." “Russia is destroying our energy infrastructure and Ukraine is not even receiving early warning of ballistic missile launches,” he said, adding, “It is completely unfair.”
Ukraine does not have large-scale satellite reconnaissance capabilities, so signs of attacks such as Russian air force base activity, ship movements, and ballistic missile launcher deployments are identified through information from the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Ukrainian Air Force spokesman Yuri Ikhnat said on the 12th that Western information does not come "sometimes" about the attack, adding, "This is not the first time."
The United States' position is that it will continue to share information. When asked on the 13th whether Ukraine might stop providing information if it does not stop attacking Russian oil refineries, President Trump responded, "We are helping them and we are sharing information."
Ukraine's Foreign Minister also said on the same day that information sharing was continuing and explained that the reason the attack on the 12th was not detected was due to the use of a special type of Russian weapon. Some military experts also said that Russia has been using missiles such as the S-400, which are difficult for Western satellites to track. It's not that the U.S. cut off information, but that it may have failed to detect it before launch. However, some point out that it is unusual for the West to fail to detect an attack twice in a row.
Concerns about an end to U.S. information sharing arose when President Trump agreed with Russian President Vladimir Putin to buy millions of tons of Russian diesel. This agreement is a measure to lower diesel prices before the U.S. midterm elections. It is said that the United States explained this agreement to Ukraine at a meeting in Miami last week and put pressure on Ukraine that it would not share military information unless it stopped attacking Russian oil refineries.
The Trump administration has used intelligence sharing as a means of putting pressure on Ukraine before. The United States temporarily suspended intelligence sharing with Ukraine for several days after the two leaders clashed during a White House meeting in early 2025.
Regarding Russia's airstrike on Kiev on the night of the 12th, President Zelenskyy announced that the Combined Heat and Power Plant No. 4 (CHP-4) was the target. Russia has been targeting power generation facilities in Ukraine as winter approaches. Chiiu Mayor Vitali Klitschko said at least two people were killed and about 20 injured in the attack.
President Trump announced on the 11th that Ukraine and Russia had reached an agreement on a ceasefire in the energy sector, which went into immediate effect, but it is not actually being observed.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Russian airstrikes against Ukrainian energy facilities continue
Likely · Within weeks

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