
The analysis by the CGIA of Mestre highlights the impact of the increases in petrol and diesel prices. Rome and Lombardy lead the increases.
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Petrol and diesel prices are experiencing sharp increases due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Despite the decision by Eni and other oil companies to set a cap on petrol and diesel prices for October, Italian families and businesses will still spend 1.1 billion euros more than in the same month last year. This is what emerges from the data of the CGIA research office in Mestre, according to which the large metropolitan areas of the country will suffer the most, with Rome in the lead (+68.5 million euros), followed by Milan (+49.5), Naples (+39.6), Brescia (+31.2), Turin (+27.8) and Bari (+25.6).
The CGIA notes that until the conflict in the Middle East ends, it is difficult to imagine that prices at the pump will return to pre-crisis levels. Those who pay the highest price - he underlines - are commuters, especially those who live in areas poorly served by public transport and for whom the car is the only real alternative to reach work.
With the prices at the pump of petrol and diesel in self-service mode standing, in the last week, respectively at around 2.1 and 2.3 euros per liter - with an increase, compared to the period close to the start of the conflict in the Persian Gulf, of +29.1% for green and +36.6% for diesel - the CGIA Research Office forecasts, for 2026, an overall increase at a national level of approximately 13.6 billion euros compared to 2025, with an increase of 20.4% An increase which on a monthly basis is around 1.1 billion euros: the largest increases in absolute value will concern Lombardy (+163.9 million euros), Emilia Romagna (+111.1) and Veneto (+106.1).
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Overall increase of 13.6 billion euros in 2026 compared to 2025
Likely · Within months

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