China’s economy to slow as global growth stays solid, US think tank report says

China’s economic growth is expected to slow further next year as export strength fades and weak domestic demand persists, even as the global economy remains resilient, according to a new outlook from the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE).

The Washington-based think tank projects China’s GDP will grow 4.6 per cent this year and 4.3 per cent in 2027, down from 5 per cent growth in 2025, according to its semi-annual Global Economic Prospects report, released on Tuesday.

The report said overcapacity and the property slump are weighing on domestic demand while export strength is expected to fade.