
AI-generated summary
China's economy has relied on exports and manufacturing investment this year amid weak consumer demand. Rising energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict have pressured corporate margins, prompting policymakers to introduce targeted stimulus measures.
China's factory activity returned to growth in September as a deepening economic malaise prompts policymakers to ramp up stimulus steps and bolster growth.
The official manufacturing purchasing managers' index rose to 50.1 from 49.8 in August, National Bureau of Statistics data showed Wednesday, in line with analysts' forecast for a modest expansion of 50.1 in a Reuters poll.
Manufacturers in the country have benefited from the AI hardware boom, while weak consumer demand at home has been a major worry, with higher energy costs owed to the Middle East war weighing on margins.
Exports have been one of the few drivers of China's economy this year, but that engine is showing signs of strain as trading partners voice growing concerns over the country's excess manufacturing capacity and heavy reliance on foreign demand, while domestic consumption lags.
China's top economic and financial policymakers on Tuesday unveiled targeted fiscal and monetary measures to lower financing costs and boost central bank lending, as Beijing calls for stronger counter-cyclical support to keep the economy on track to meet its full-year growth target.
"The new round of supportive measures is not sufficient to bolster growth," a team of economists at Nomura wrote in a note, adding that the steps were too small to address the real barriers to growth.
"The measures are more significant as a policy signal than as a near-term growth impulse," Goldman Sachs economists echoed. Targeted credit easing mainly supports the supply side, and whether it translates into investment and broader growth will depend on how the policies are implemented, they said.
The mortgage subsidy announced Tuesday is more direct support for housing demand and may lift home sales in the short term, Goldman added. With the program set to run for one year, it could also pull forward some first-home purchases, Goldman analysts said.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
China's manufacturing PMI will remain in expansion territory in the near term if stimulus measures are sustained
Likely · Within months
Domestic consumption will remain a drag on China's economic growth in the short term
Likely · Within months

Hazem Ben-Gacem, CEO of Abu Dhabi-based BlueFive Capital, advised investors to align with national priorities such as food security, defense, and infrastructure, citing strong capital availability for such solutions. Speaking at SuperReturn Asia in Singapore, he noted growing influence of geopolitics on returns and highlighted recent deals including a 30% stake in Bugatti Rimac and co-leading a funding round for China's Kling AI, valued at $18 billion.

China's commerce ministry warned the EU it will 'respond firmly' if the bloc introduces restrictions on Chinese businesses or products, stating such actions would 'seriously undermine mutual trust' and disrupt ongoing trade talks. The warning comes as EU officials consider '301'-style tools to cut China off from the European market within 24 hours, amid efforts to reduce the EU's record trade deficit with China by October.

Hedge funds have increased their holdings in U.S. Treasurys to $2 trillion, representing a record 7% of the market, as traditional long-term investors like pension funds shift to other assets. While this provides liquidity, experts warn that hedge funds' reliance on leverage and short-term financing could amplify systemic risk during market stress, particularly through leveraged basis trades that may trigger forced unwinds and volatility spikes.

US consumer confidence fell to its lowest level since 2014, driven by higher costs for goods and services, just over one month before the congressional midterm elections, according to The Conference Board.

Six Flags Magic Mountain permanently retired the X2 roller coaster after lawsuits alleged brain injuries from the ride, citing guest safety concerns. The coaster, which opened in 2002 and reached 76 mph, had a history of incidents including two deaths and multiple hospitalizations for subdural hematoma. Experts note extreme G-forces on roller coasters can cause brain shearing and twisting, posing higher risks to children due to biomechanical vulnerabilities.

The United States has implemented a ban on nearly $1 billion in Canadian imports, including alcohol, dairy, and motorcycles, effective early Tuesday. This move follows Canada's retaliatory tariffs on US goods and is expected to further strain bilateral relations. Economists note the ban's direct economic impact is minor but view it as a symbolic escalation in the ongoing trade dispute under President Trump's second term.