
AI-generated summary
Since Russia launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the conflict between the two sides has continued. The Russian army has been advancing slowly on the eastern front, while Ukraine relies on Western weapons support. Russia's finances are under increasing pressure from sanctions and military spending, and the deficit continues to expand.
Russian President Putin. (AFP)
The Washington Post reported that after US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director Ray Cliff paid a secret visit to Russia, Russian President Vladimir Putin stepped up air strikes in Ukraine, using missiles and jet drones to target targets such as water and electricity infrastructure, supermarkets, and granaries. It is believed that the intense bombing campaign can force Kiev, which lacks the Patriot air defense system, to succumb in winter.
The Russian army's advance in the Ukrainian battlefield has almost stalled, and financial pressure is snowballing. As of the end of July, the deficit had reached US$74.4 billion, accounting for approximately 2.8% of gross domestic product (GDP), which was far higher than the government's forecast of a deficit of 1.6% for the whole year. At that time, Ratcliffe warned Russian intelligence leaders that Moscow's posture was not as strong as before and may weaken further in six months to a year. Escalating the war situation may have a counterproductive force and urge Russia to return to the negotiating table.
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The Russian leadership believes that as long as it bombs the energy infrastructure and water supply facilities around Kiev, it will push the dissatisfaction of the people to the limit and force the Ukrainian government to try to end the war. Although the negative sentiment among the people is also increasing day by day, the resistance of the Russian people is not as strong as that of the Ukrainians. Putin hopes that time will still be on Russia's side.
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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Russia will continue to carry out air strikes targeting Ukrainian energy and water infrastructure in the coming weeks
Likely · Within weeks
Russia's fiscal deficit will widen further over next six months unless military spending is brought under control
Possible · Within months

Palisha, the deputy chief of staff of the Ukrainian President, revealed to the media that Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered the Russian army to prepare for several military operation scenarios, and the targets may be the Kiev and Chernigov regions in northern Ukraine. The news came as U.S. President Trump's special envoys Kushner and Weikov visited Russia and Ukraine respectively in an attempt to restart the peace process interrupted by the U.S.-Iran conflict. However, Ukraine is skeptical of Putin's willingness for peace. At the same time, the Director of the US Central Intelligence Agency, Ray Cliff, recently went to Moscow to meet with Russian intelligence and security officials to discuss whether Putin intends to resolve the conflict through diplomatic channels. The United States proposed a tripartite meeting between leaders of the United States, Ukraine, and Russia to seek a peaceful breakthrough, but Putin rejected it.

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Russian President Putin ordered a 3-day pause on airstrikes against the Ukrainian capital Kyiv starting midnight today to coincide with the visit of US President Trump's envoys Witkoff and Kushner to Kyiv for peace talks; this move comes amid escalating airstrikes by both sides, following a previous call by Ukrainian President Zelenskyy for Moscow to adopt a similar measure.

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