China denies claim it is keeping yuan low for competition
Quick Look
- The People's Bank of China (PBOC) rejected claims that the yuan was undervalued and argued that the value of the currency was determined by industrial competitiveness, not exchange rate policy.
- As trade talks with the EU began, officials such as German Chancellor Merz and ECB President Lagarde criticized the value of the yuan.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The People's Bank of China responded to allegations that the yuan was kept undervalued while preparing for trade talks with the EU regarding the value of the yuan. This year, the yuan gained 4.3% against the dollar and lost more than 10% against the euro.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) rejected claims that the yuan was kept undervalued as trade talks with the European Union began.
The bank argued that exchange rate adjustments could not resolve structural imbalances in the global economy and that China's export strength was due to increased industrial competitiveness, not exchange rate policy. PBOC said, "China has no need or intention to gain a competitive advantage by devaluing its currency."
While the yuan has gained 4.3% against the dollar this year, the euro has fallen more than 10% against the yuan since its peak in January. European officials argue that the weak yuan gives an advantage to Chinese exporters and contributes to the EU's growing trade deficit with China.
While German Chancellor Friedrich Merz argued that the yuan was 25%-30% undervalued, ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that China should be included in the negotiations regarding exchange rate valuations. Becky Liu from Standard Chartered said that PBOC's harsh statement shows that China has adopted a stricter attitude towards the EU and that its exchange rate policy is not open to negotiation with the EU.
Tommy Xie from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. evaluated the statement as "not a change in the exchange rate regime, but a position determination document before negotiations." While Francesco Pesole from ING does not expect a major change in China's exchange rate policy, he said that the statement indicates that PBOC may be more willing to resist further strengthening of the yuan.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
PBOC may take measured steps to increase the value of the yuan.
Possible · Within weeks
The EU may bring exchange rate evaluations to the agenda in trade negotiations with China.
Likely · Within weeks
Open Questions
- How will the issue of exchange rate policy be addressed in trade negotiations with the EU?
- How will PBOC's strategy for managing the value of the yuan change?
- What measures could the EU consider to increase the value of the yuan?

