兩軍交戰，最忌破口出現。 Once the gap is broken by competitors, the situation will be chaotic in the least case, and the domino effect will be triggered in the worst case. There are many cases in Taiwan's electoral history.
In the nine-in-one local elections that will be held at the end of next month, a trend has emerged, that is, the current mayor of Taipei City is becoming a breach of the KMT. His influence will not only affect the KMT’s mayoral and council elections in Taipei City, but will also extend to various constituencies across the country, causing chain shocks of varying sizes.
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The fact that Jiang Wanan became a breach does not mean that he will definitely lose the election on November 28, but in May this year, Mayor Jiang's original plan was to "cold deal with" his opponent Shen Boyang, and at the same time, he used his free time to go to various counties and cities to help the Kuomintang select generals and campaign, as if to establish himself as the "communist leader" of the blue camp.
Unexpectedly, 40 days before the election, Jiang Wanan brought Shen Boyang close to hand-to-hand combat, and some polls even showed that he was overtaken by a double-digit disparity. Regardless of whether he was "crossed by death" or not, the burden Jiang Wanan brought to the Kuomintang was extremely real. This was tantamount to giving Shen Boyang reassurance that "losing the election is winning, and winning the election is winning even more." It undoubtedly shows that Jiang Wanan is destined to lose.
Jiang Wanan caused turmoil in the Kuomintang's military morale, which was specifically reflected in the formation change of first sending five legislators to escort him, and finally asking Lu Xiuyan to go north to serve as the chairman.證實蔣萬安早就不是國民黨的母雞。
Not only was Jiang Wanan unable to raise chickens, but due to the geographical relationship of the common living circle and the overflow effect of ocean currents, he also harmed the Kuomintang comrades in New Taipei and Keelung, hindering and stumbling Li Sichuan and Xie Guoliang, which only increased the obstacles on the electoral road.這筆帳，怎會不算在蔣萬安身上？ Therefore, even if Chiang Wanan can be successfully re-elected based on the special demographic structure of Taipei City, how can Chiang Wanan "win" from the overall perspective?
反過來說，沈伯洋為什麼已經贏了？ This point needs to be based on the DPP's increase in local territory and the number of Taipei City Council members' electoral seats as "hard power" in the future. However, the results of "soft power" have already been harvested. That is the electoral culture and electoral phenomenon created by Shen Boyang, "Ocean Current" and "Little Water Drop", which respectively inspired the thinking of domestic voters and attracted the attention of international public opinion. This is a milestone in democratic Taiwan, and it is happening regardless of whether you voted for him or not.
