G11 hour agoPolitics1 min readBrazil

Datafolha in DF, 2nd round: Flávio Bolsonaro, 49%; Lula, 43%

Quick Look

Datafolha research commissioned by Globo and Folha de S.Paulo shows Lula with 53% and Flávio Bolsonaro with 47% in voting intentions for the second presidential round in the Federal District, with a margin of error of three percentage points and a confidence level of 95%.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

This is the first round of research since the second round between Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula was confirmed, last Sunday (4). The second round will be on October 25th. On that date, DF voters also decide the election for governor, between Celina Leão (PP) and Leandro Grass.

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This is the first round of research since the second round between Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) and Lula was confirmed, last Sunday (4).

The second round will be on October 25th. On that date, DF voters also decide the election for governor, between Celina Leão (PP) and Leandro Grass.

The research was commissioned by Globo and the newspaper "Folha de S.Paulo". Datafolha interviewed 910 people between the 6th and 8th of October. The margin of error is three percentage points, plus or minus. The confidence level is 95%. The research registration number is BR-09856/2026.

Datafolha also asked voters what their assessment was of Lula's work as president. See the results:

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

Lula will win the second presidential round in the Federal District with a margin of approximately six percentage points.
Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

What is the voters' assessment of Lula's work as president?
How do voting intentions vary between different regions of the Federal District?
What is the rejection level for each candidate?
How should the campaign evolve between now and October 25th?