
AI-generated summary
The US labor market is showing signs of slowing compared to analysts' forecasts. The Fed's decisions on rates remain conditioned by macroeconomic data.
The American economy created 29,000 jobs in September against the 90,000 units expected by analysts. Furthermore, unemployment surprisingly rises from 4.1% to 4.2%.
US Treasury yields tumble after September's occupation. The 10-year T-bond sees yields fall more than 6 basis points to 5.182%.
Pressure on global government bonds has eased: 10-year yields are down around 3 basis points in major European economies. The rise in yields reflects fears of persistent inflation. According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders are pricing in a 72% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at the October FOMC meeting.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Fed could keep rates unchanged at its October meeting.
Likely · Within weeks

European stock markets advance led by US markets after lower-than-expected employment data. Milan closes on a positive note, Frankfurt leads the increases. Tension on government bonds eases, the price of Brent oil falls.

In Italy, the percentage of young NEETs fell to 13.3% in 2025 compared to 25.7% in 2015. The study by Intesa Sanpaolo and Fondazione Cariplo identifies 1.2 million NEETs and proposes job inclusion strategies to promote economic growth.

The BTP-Bund spread rises to 131 basis points with yields at 4.7%. European stock markets advance driven by technology stocks, while oil drops below 100 dollars due to the possible release of strategic reserves in Europe.
The BTP-Bund spread reaches 128 basis points amid fears over public debt. The Ftse Mib marks a slight decline, while oil falls below 100 dollars. French government bonds are also under pressure with yields at their highest since 2002.

European stock markets recorded increases led by the technology sector, despite the weakness of energy and financials. Oil falls due to the hypothesis of the release of strategic reserves, while the BTP-Bund spread fluctuates and the euro weakens against the dollar.

In 2025 the A2a group allocated over 600 million euros to infrastructure and services in the Metropolitan City of Milan, marking an increase of 24% compared to the previous year and exceeding 3 billion overall since 2016.