
美國2026年期中選舉郵寄投票於北卡羅來納州率先開跑。儘管川普政府試圖透過行政命令實施限制,但聯邦法官以避免選舉混亂為由暫時阻擋了美國郵政管理局執行該命令,指出變革時間過於倉促。
AI-generated summary
郵寄投票在過去20年間於美國顯著成長,目前有37州及哥倫比亞特區允許此方式。川普長期主張郵寄投票存在舞弊風險,並試圖透過行政命令進行限制。
美國將在11月3日舉行2026年期中選舉,但「郵寄投票」(mail-in voting)4日已率先在北卡羅來納州正式開跑;儘管此投票方式實施多年,但近年來因不為川普總統所喜以致法律爭端不斷。調查顯示,不必在投票日當天親赴投票所排隊的「郵寄投票」,是許多上了年紀、住在都市或郊區,以及支持民主黨候選人選民的最愛。
川普今年3月簽署1項對「郵寄投票」實施全面新限制的行政命令,美國最高法院數日前裁定川普政府可開始實施該行政命令的部分內容,但1名聯邦法官3日以倉促變更恐招致大規模混亂為由將之擋下,也就是暫時阻止美國郵政管理局(USPS)執行前述的川普行政命令。
由於時間緊迫,川普的行政命令本就難以在今年期中選舉期間實施。前美國司法部律師、無黨派非營利組織「選舉創新與研究中心」(Center for Election Innovation and Research)執行主任貝克(David Becker)告訴美國有線電視新聞網(CNN),此等變革就算提前2到4年通知都很難辦到,在距離選舉日不到70天的眼下更不可能。
川普之所以簽署行政命令限制「郵寄投票」,符合他多年來堅稱「郵寄投票」違法、不受監管與易有舞弊的立場,還曾毫無根據地指控「郵寄投票」會導致選票被人從信箱中偷走、偽造選民簽名,以及甚至是選票本身也是盜印的。
廣為人知且漸受歡迎的「郵寄投票」,過去20年來明顯成長茁壯。美國2000年時僅21州允許「郵寄投票」,如今則有多達37州與哥倫比亞特區允許「郵寄投票」,外加有13州允許在若干限制下「郵寄投票」。
根據美國「皮尤研究中心」(Pew Research Center)2024年選後的1項調查,相較於整體投票人口,自稱在2024年大選中「郵寄投票」的選民,往往較年長,以及更可能住在城市或市郊。較多年長者選擇「郵寄投票」,可能與各州相關規定有關,因為在密西西比州等州,選民只要年滿65歲或以上,就有資格「郵寄投票」。
同1份皮尤調查還顯示,投票方式與選民政治傾向有所關聯。2024年,61%「郵寄投票」的選民支持民主黨總統候選人賀錦麗(Kamala Harris),比例高於提前投票或選舉日當天親赴投票所投票的選民。賀錦麗在「郵寄投票」選民中的支持率,高於普選中的得票率。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
川普行政命令無法在本次期中選舉期間實施。
Likely · Within weeks

Former UN Security Council president Kishore Mahbubani argues that Asia remains hindered by 'mental colonisation' despite its demographic weight. Speaking in Malaysia, he identified Taiwan as the region's primary flashpoint and urged improved China-India relations.

The Taoyuan mayoral election presents a showdown between blue and green. The current mayor Zhang Shanzheng adopts a prudent strategy by leveraging the advantages of administrative resources and legislative integration; challenger Huang Shijie focuses on the issues of stagnant municipal construction and administrative efficiency, trying to find opportunities to win through policy debates and integrating green camp forces.

KMT New Taipei Mayor candidate Li Sichuan braved the rain today (5th) to attend the inaugural meeting of the Tucheng Support Association of Councilor Huang Yongchang. Li Sichuan proposed to expand the Tucheng Medical Park, implement the leisure card for the elderly, and planned to build the "Lushe Bridge" to connect the Shuangbei Science and Technology Park to create an AI industry corridor to create local employment opportunities.
Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a halt to attacks on Kiev for three days starting from midnight today to coordinate with preparations for the visit of U.S. special envoys Witkov and Kushner and related contacts. Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed that Ukraine will also take corresponding actions.

The number of seats for Yunlin County’s next parliamentary election has increased to 45, with a total of 73 people registered. The focus of the election is the choice of eight current members to hand over the baton to their relatives, including former Speaker Shen Zonglong, Deputy Speaker Cai Yongxun and others. The election has entered a stage of fierce competition.

There are five candidates running in the Kaohsiung mayoral election. The election focuses on the showdown between Lai Ruilong of the Democratic Progressive Party and Ke Zhien of the Kuomintang. The Lai camp took the lead due to Chen Qimai's high satisfaction, while the Ke camp tried to close the gap through personal characteristics and large-scale campaigns in an effort to make a comeback.