
Handelsblatt chief economist Bert Rürup and IW director Michael Hüther in conversation about protectionism and self-sufficiency
In the current episode of Economic Challenges, Bert Rürup and Michael Hüther analyze the reasons for the increasing isolation of large economies and the comeback of the idea of self-sufficiency.
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Large economies are increasingly sealing off their markets, which is leading to a new spatial structure in world trade.
In this episode of Economic Challenges, Handelsblatt chief economist Bert Rürup and Michael Hüther, director of the German Economic Institute, discuss why the major economies are sealing off their markets again.
Hüther points to world trade elasticity: Until the financial crisis, trade grew significantly faster than world production; today the value is one. He does not see this as a collapse, but as a new spatial structure that forces companies and states to take precautions. As an example, he cites Sanofi's insulin factory in Frankfurt - subsidized with 400 million euros, the only human insulin production in the European Economic Area. “Power politics is in the foreground,” says Hüther.
Rürup sees a comeback of the idea of self-sufficiency: the USA and China said goodbye to the market that supported their rise. It remains unclear whether the EU can become the third pillar of the global economy.
Putin has stripped the German trading group Metro of control over its profitable Russian business and placed the company under receivership. This means Metro loses access to profits.

The Dax started trading on Friday with an increase of 0.5 percent at 25,067 points. Investors are turning their attention to new US economic data and euro inflation.

Volvo withdraws its annual forecast for sales and cash flow due to difficult markets in China and the USA. In the third quarter, sales fell 10.7 percent. The share temporarily lost 7.8 percent in value.

Consumer sentiment in Germany is deteriorating significantly, especially among higher earners. According to a NIM survey, the spending mood of the highest-income households is falling massively, which could slow down the economic recovery in consumption.

Despite political calls for de-risking, German companies increased their investments in China in the first half of the year. Alternatives in Southeast Asia and India are proving difficult for the German auto industry and mechanical engineering.

The public budget deficit in Germany rose to 98.8 billion euros in the first half of the year. The reasons include the fuel discount, tax relief and sharply increased federal interest expenses.