
AI-generated summary
Meteorological expert Wu Derong published a column in the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation to analyze Taiwan's weather changes in the coming week, including the increase in water vapor, the strengthening of the northeast monsoon, the impact of radiation cooling, and the path of typhoons.
Meteorological experts pointed out that today and tomorrow (Saturday and Sunday) the water vapor will increase, and there will be heavy rain in the north and east in places. Next Monday and Tuesday, the northeast monsoon will strengthen again, and the North Taiwan will turn "cool", and there will be heavy rain on the windward side. (File photo)
Meteorological experts pointed out that today and tomorrow (Saturday and Sunday), the moisture will increase, and there will be heavy rainfall in places in the north and east. The northeast monsoon will strengthen again next Monday and Tuesday, and the North Taiwan will turn "cool", with heavy rain on the windward side. Affected by radiation cooling from next Wednesday to Friday, the low temperature in the morning may drop to around 16 degrees. There may also be local short-term rain in the afternoon in the central and southern mountainous areas.
Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor of the Department of Atmosphere at National Central University, wrote a column in the "Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation" today and pointed out that the moisture will increase today and tomorrow, and there will be occasional localized short-lived rains in the northern and eastern half of the country. The temperature dropped slightly in the north and east, while the central and southern parts were still hot during the day and slightly cooler in the morning and evening. Today's temperatures in various regions are as follows: 23 to 30 degrees in the north, 23 to 35 degrees in the center, 22 to 35 degrees in the south, and 22 to 33 degrees in the east.
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Wu Derong said that the northeast monsoon will strengthen next Monday and Tuesday, the temperature will drop significantly (it is far from the intensity of the "continental cold air mass"), and Beitai will turn "cool"; next Monday there will be rain with heavy rain on the windward side, and next Tuesday the moisture will gradually decrease, and the rainfall on the windward side will gradually decrease. From next Wednesday to Friday, the leeward side will be sunny and stable, and the windward side will be cloudy and sunny with occasional sporadic rainfall; the north will be comfortable and the south will be slightly hot. Due to radiation cooling, the temperature will be low in the early morning (the Taipei measuring station is about 20 degrees, and the lowest temperature on Taiwan's flat ground can drop to about 16 degrees). The temperature difference between day and night is large; there is also the chance of local short-term rainfall in the afternoon in the central and southern mountainous areas.
Wu Derong explained that according to the latest forecast from the Meteorological Administration, the No. 26 Central Station "Caiyun" is located in the northern sea of Guam, and will generally travel northward toward the eastern sea of Japan. Its intensity will continue to increase and its scope will continue to expand into a "large typhoon" with a radius of 280 kilometers. The latest European simulations show that the probability is highest in the north, with no possibility of invading Taiwan. As for Hurricane NOLO, which developed in the eastern Pacific, it will cross the date line next Monday and enter the western Pacific, posing no threat to Taiwan.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The northeast monsoon will strengthen next Monday and Tuesday, the weather will turn cooler in Beitai, and there will be heavy rain on the windward side.
Very likely · Within days
Affected by radiation cooling next Wednesday to Friday, the low temperature in the early morning may drop to around 16 degrees
Likely · Within days
No. 26 Central Station "Caiyun" will move northward, with no chance of invading Taiwan.
Very likely · Within days

Meteorological consultant Jia Xingxing pointed out that due to the influence of the northeasterly wind, the first wave of monsoon cooling in Taiwan is not obvious, but it is expected that a real cooling period will occur from October 5 to 8, with the low temperature in the north of Hsinchu and Yilan falling to about 18 degrees; the northeasterly wind will remain during the National Day holiday, and there will be some brief rain in the wind side areas. Other areas will be cloudy to sunny, suitable for travel.

The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that from October 3rd to 4th, there will be heavy rainfall in the south, with heavy to heavy rains in some areas in Guizhou, Hunan, Guangxi, Guangdong and other places. At the same time, affected by the cold air, winds will be stronger in the central and eastern regions and the eastern and southern sea areas. The temperature will drop by 4~6℃, and the local temperature will drop by 8~10℃. It is necessary to prevent the impact of flash floods, geological disasters and strong wind cooling on transportation, agriculture and animal husbandry.

On October 3, large-scale precipitation continued in the south and the rainfall intensified in some areas, with heavy rain or heavy rain; the rainfall in the south gradually weakened tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, while the northern and northeastern regions in the north received rainfall from west to east. Affected by cold air and rainy weather, the temperature in many places in the north and south of my country will reach record lows and the chill will be obvious. The public needs to add clothes in time and pay attention to traffic safety.

The Central Meteorological Administration pointed out that the northeast monsoon has weakened slightly today, and there will be local brief showers in the windward direction of Greater Taipei, the eastern half and the Hengchun Peninsula. Yilan, Hualien and Greater Taipei areas need to pay attention to local heavy rains, especially the probability of local heavy rains in the Yilan Mountains. There are also local showers from Hsinchu to Taichung, south of Chiayi and other mountainous areas in the afternoon, and there may be heavy rains. The high temperature is about 29 to 33 degrees, and the low temperature at night is 23 to 27 degrees. There is excessive ultraviolet rays, so please wear sunscreen and moisturize. Mild Typhoon No. 26 Caiyun is far away from Taiwan and has no impact. The air quality in places such as the northern and central parts of the country was rated as "fair", while the air quality in places such as Yilan and Huadong was rated as "good". The northeast monsoon will continue to affect the weather over the next week, with brief showers likely to occur in mountainous areas and the eastern half.

From October 2 to 8, the cold air will be active in my country, and the temperature in many places will hit record lows. The high temperature in the south will subside and the body will feel cooler. There is weak precipitation and large temperature differences in the north, and it is rainy in the south. The meteorological department has issued guidance on dressing and itinerary adjustments for National Day travel.

Lin De'en, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, said that the northeast monsoon will strengthen from today, with brief showers in the northern, northeastern and eastern regions, and the high temperature will drop slightly; the temperature in the central and southern parts will not drop significantly, and sporadic rainfall will mainly occur in the afternoon. The central and northern regions, Penghu, and Matsu areas have a chance of average winds above level 5 to 6 or gusts above level 7 to 8. Wave heights in the northern seas of Taiwan and the northern Taiwan Strait increased to about 1.5 to 2.5 meters. The northeast monsoon will weaken slightly tomorrow and the next two days, and the wave height will drop to 1 to 1.5 meters or less. The northeast monsoon will intensify again next Monday with greater intensity.