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Back氣象專家預測今明北東有雨 下週一二東北季風增強北台轉涼
氣象專家預測今明北東有雨 下週一二東北季風增強北台轉涼
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自由时报4 hours agoWeather2 min readChinaView translation

氣象專家預測今明北東有雨 下週一二東北季風增強北台轉涼

Quick Look

氣象專家吳德榮指出,今明(週六、日)水氣增多,北部、東半部有局部較大雨勢;下週一、二東北季風再增強,北台轉涼,迎風面有較大雨勢;下週三至週五受輻射冷卻影響,清晨低溫恐下探至16度左右,中南部山區午後可能有局部短暫降雨;第26號中颱「彩雲」將向北前進,無侵台機率,東太平洋颶風NOLO將於下週一進入西太平洋,對台無威脅。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

氣象專家吳德榮在氣象應用推廣基金會專欄發文,分析台灣未來一週天氣變化,包括水氣增多、東北季風增強、輻射冷卻影響以及颱風路徑。

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氣象專家指出,今、明(週六、日)水氣增多,北、東有局部較大雨勢;下週一、二東北季風再增強,北台轉「涼」,迎風面有較大雨勢。(資料照)

氣象專家指出,今、明(週六、日)水氣增多,北、東有局部較大雨勢;下週一、二東北季風再增強,北台轉「涼」,迎風面有較大雨勢,下週三至週五受輻射冷卻影響,清晨低溫低恐下探至16度左右,中南部山區午後也可能有局部短暫降雨。

中央大學大氣系兼任副教授吳德榮今在「氣象應用推廣基金會」專欄撰文指出,今、明兩天水氣增多,北部、東半部偶有局部短暫雨、山區午後亦有局部短暫降雨的機率;今北部山區及東半部有局部較大雨勢。北、東氣溫略降,中南部白天仍偏熱、各地早晚略偏涼。今日各地區氣溫如下:北部23至30度、中部23至35度、南部22至35度、東部22至33度。

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吳德榮表示,下週一、二東北季風增強,氣溫明顯下降(與「大陸冷氣團」的強度、還差得遠),北台轉「涼」;下週一迎風面轉有雨、有較大雨勢,下週二水氣漸減,迎風面降雨漸減少。下週三至週五背風面晴朗穩定,迎風面多雲時晴、偶有零星降雨;北舒適、南微熱,因輻射冷卻、清晨氣溫低(台北測站約在20度,全台平地最低溫則可降至16度左右)、日夜溫差大;中南部山區午後亦偶有局部短暫降雨的機率。

吳德榮說明,根據最新氣象署預測顯示,第26號中颱「彩雲」在關島北方海面,未來大致向北而行,朝日本東方海面前進,強度續增強、範圍將持續擴大為半徑280公里的「大型颱風」。最新歐洲模擬則顯示,大致以偏北機率最高,無侵台機率。至於發展於東太平洋的颶風NOLO將於下週一跨過換日線,進入西太平洋,對台無威脅。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 下週一、二東北季風增強,北台轉涼,迎風面有較大雨勢

    Very likely · Within days

  • 下週三至週五受輻射冷卻影響,清晨低溫恐下探至16度左右

    Likely · Within days

  • 第26號中颱「彩雲」將向北前進,無侵台機率

    Very likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 東北季風增強後,北台轉涼的具體幅度與持續時間是多少?
  • 中南部山區午後的局部短暫降雨機率有多大?
  • 第26號中颱「彩雲」未來路徑是否會改變?

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