
AI-generated summary
The Datafolha and Quaest surveys are released periodically during the election campaign to measure voters' voting intentions. The results help to understand the evolution of the presidential dispute in Brazil.
New rounds of Datafolha and Quaest will be announced at the end of the day. The surveys will show voting intentions for president and state governments in the final stretch of the campaign.
The results will present a portrait of voting intentions in the periods in which the interviews were carried out. Polls are not a prediction of the outcome of the election.
The latest Datafolha survey, released on Thursday (1st), showed Lula (PT) with 42% of voting intentions and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 38% in the first round. In the previous survey, from a week earlier, Lula had 40% and Flávio, 36%.
In the second round simulation, Lula (PT) appeared with 48% of voting intentions, against 45% for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). The distance of three percentage points is within the survey's margin of error, plus or minus two points, which constitutes a technical tie between them.
In Quaest, on Monday (28), Lula (PT) had 39% of voting intentions in the 1st round of the presidential election, against 34% for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). In the 2nd round, the two are numerically tied, with 42% of voting intentions.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The new Datafolha and Quaest surveys will show updates in voting intentions for president and state governments.
Very likely · Within hours

Lula maintains a slight advantage over Flávio Bolsonaro in the polls for 2026, despite the government's 41% negative rating. Unemployment is at 5.3%, the lowest in the historical series, and inflation in August was -0.32%. The government cites Brazil's exit from the Hunger Map and announces a new phase of Desenrola to renegotiate up to R$150 billion in debt owed to individuals.

Almost one million Brazilians living abroad are eligible to vote in the 2026 elections, a number greater than the total number of voters in states such as Amapá and Acre. Voting is mandatory for Brazilians between 18 and 70 years old abroad, and it is only possible to vote for the President of the Republic. TRE-DF coordinates the sending of 1,407 electronic voting machines to 134 countries, with support from Itamaraty, after the deadline for judging applications on September 14th. Ballot boxes are sent from airports in Viracopos and Guarulhos, and voting abroad takes more than 29 hours due to time zones, starting in New Zealand and ending in Canada. Poll workers are volunteers and receive two days off for each day worked, except when subject to local labor legislation. Even in conflict zones such as Tehran, Tel Aviv, Beirut and Kiev, the Electoral Court guarantees voting in safe places. The zeroth is printed before voting in each section, and the official results are only released by the TSE after voting closes in Brazil, at 5pm on Sunday.

Voters in Varginha, Passos and Poços de Caldas should consult the e-Título or TRE website to confirm voting locations in the first round of the 2026 elections, after transfers of sections due to accessibility, works and increase in voters.

The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) confirms that voters without registered biometrics can vote normally in the 2026 elections, as long as they have a regular electoral status. Biometric identification facilitates the process, but is not mandatory for voting.

Voters can take paper glue with the candidates' numbers to consult at the voting booth in the 2026 elections, but the use of cell phones, tablets and smart glasses with cameras is prohibited in the electronic voting machine. g1 provided a printable template to make organization easier. The first round will be on October 4th and the second on October 25th, 2026.

Minister Gilmar Mendes, from the STF, annulled the precautionary removal of judge Tutmés Airan, from the TJAL, determined by the CNJ after a decision that suspended the PF's investigation into electoral fraud in Alagoas, considering that there was no serious disciplinary misconduct and that the removal threatened the independence of Justice during the electoral period.