
舒力基颱風位於琉球以南海域,緩慢北上不會直接影響台灣,連假期間全台多晴到多雲,西半部高溫達33至35度,東半部約32至34度。受外圍氣流影響,東北季風將於週四起南下,週末有明顯轉涼趨勢,海邊活動需注意風浪增大。
AI-generated summary
舒力基颱風目前位於琉球以南海域,受太平洋高壓東退影響放慢速度並開始北偏轉,預計將掠過琉球那霸以南海域,中心不會直接接近琉球本島。
天氣配圖。(資料照)
天氣風險公司表示,舒力基颱風目前位於琉球以南海域,自昨晚起因太平洋高壓逐漸東退而放慢速度,已經逐漸開始往北偏轉,預估今天繼續由北往東北方向偏轉,明天將掠過琉球那霸以南海域,颱風中心不會太接近琉球本島,但外圍環流仍將為琉球本島帶來風雨現象。由於颱風環流範圍偏小且距離台灣遙遠,對台灣陸地上的天氣無明顯影響,26日至28日3天連假期間全台多為晴到多雲,僅山區午後有零星短暫陣雨。
天氣風險分析師吳聖宇今日發文指出,連假期間台灣各地白天較為炎熱,西半部高溫可達33至35度,局部地區有36度或以上高溫機率,東半部約32至34度;夜晚清晨中北部、東北部低溫23至25度,部份空曠地區低溫約20至22度。南部及花東地區低溫25至27度,部分空曠地區低溫22至24度,夜晚清晨稍涼,早出晚歸民眾須多留意。
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受到颱風外圍氣流牽引,台灣附近環境風向轉為偏南到西南風,海峽北部到北海岸一帶明後天配合地形影響風浪較為增大,同時颱風外圍長浪也來到台灣附近,加上天文大潮影響,因此連假期間要到海邊活動的朋友仍要特別注意安全。
吳聖宇指出,下週二至週三(29至30日)舒力基颱風已經遠離,水氣依然偏少,各地維持白天炎熱、日夜溫差大的穩定型態。週四(10月1日)下午到晚間新一波東北季風南下,並將影響到週六(10月3日)白天,要等到週六晚間才會緩和,雖然強度不強,但屆時迎風面的北部、東北部、東部降雨機會提高,中南部山區午後仍將有局部短暫陣雨,北台灣的溫度也會稍微下降轉涼。
週日(10月4日)晚間則有更強的東北季風南下,可能持續延續至10月上旬後半,除了迎風面有降雨機會外,氣溫也可能有較為明顯轉涼且維持較長時間的可能性,秋意將更為明顯,後續預報變化值得觀察留意。此外,9月底至10月上旬在西北太平洋上仍將陸續有颱風發展活動機會,不過預期活動範圍都在較遠的遠洋海域,移動方向也是北轉趨向日本附近為主,靠近台灣的機會較低,應該是不必擔心會有颱風影響台灣的情況。
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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
週四(10月1日)下午到晚間新一波東北季風南下,將影響到週六(10月3日)白天
Likely · Within days
週日(10月4日)晚間有更強的東北季風南下,可能持續延續至10月上旬後半
Possible · Within weeks
9月底至10月上旬西北太平洋仍將有颱風發展活動機會,但移動方向北轉趨向日本附近,靠近台灣機會較低
Possible · Within weeks

An unusually powerful autumn nor'easter brought heavy rain and strong winds to the northeastern US on Saturday, causing hundreds of flight cancellations and leaving tens of thousands without power. New York, Boston and Philadelphia faced threats of major flooding and road closures as the National Weather Service warned of significant coastal inundation through the weekend.

The Central Meteorological Administration's forecast points out that it will be mostly cloudy to sunny across Taiwan from tonight to next Wednesday, making it suitable for outdoor moon viewing. From next Thursday, another northeast monsoon will intensify, with temperatures dropping in the northern and eastern half and localized brief rains. At the same time, there are signals of the development of tropical disturbances in the western Pacific, which require continued attention.

The chances of enjoying the moon on the night of the Mid-Autumn Festival are generally very high. The area from Taoyuan to Chiayi has perfect scores. Only greater Taipei, the east and the south have slightly more clouds. Lai Xinguo, a forecaster from the Meteorological Administration, said that there will be sporadic brief showers in the south in the afternoon. The clouds will not disperse a little after nightfall, and the moon viewing index will be slightly deducted. However, there will be almost no clouds from Taoyuan to Chiayi. The weather will be fine in the next few days, with only sporadic brief showers in the mountainous areas in the afternoon. Affected by Typhoon Shuliki, there is a possibility of long waves along the eastern half of the coast and the Hengchun Peninsula.

Today is the first day of the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday. The Meteorological Administration predicts that the weather will be good and hot for four consecutive days. Meteorological expert Wu Derong pointed out that from today to Sunday, the days will be hot and the nights will be slightly cool, with occasional local rainfall in the central and southern mountainous areas and the east. There will be tropical system activity near Taiwan from next Monday to Wednesday, but simulations vary greatly from country to country and the development remains to be seen. No. 24 "Du Juan" in the middle stage continues to make a big turn and will still threaten the Kanto region of Japan today.

Today (25th) is the first day of the four-day Mid-Autumn Festival and Teachers' Day holidays. The Central Meteorological Administration has forecast sporadic short-lived showers in Greater Taipei, eastern Taipei and the Hengchun Peninsula, while it will be cloudy to sunny in other areas. The weather will be good from tomorrow to next Wednesday, with the daytime temperature in the western half reaching 32-34 degrees. Next Thursday the northeast monsoon will strengthen and bring cooling. Mild Typhoon Shuliji will have a low impact away from Taiwan, but will cause long waves along the eastern coast. A new wave of annual astronomical tides is coming from Saturday, and the western coast needs to pay attention to seawater intrusion.

Tomorrow will be a four-day holiday for the Mid-Autumn Festival and Teacher's Day. The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that except for some moisture on the windward side tomorrow, the weather will mostly be good from the second day of the holiday to next Wednesday. However, the northeast monsoon will strengthen next Thursday and the weather will turn cooler. Also pay attention to the long waves caused by Typhoon Shuliji and the annual astronomical tides along the western coast.