October 2026 election survey announced: The difference between NEW Party and AKP is 1.8 points

Data analyst and pollster Murat Kızılboğa shared the results of the October 2026 general election vote preference research under the title "Türkiye's Data Map" on his social media account.

In the research, which was stated to be conducted with 1420 people between 25-29 October 2026, the participants were asked the question "If there was a general election this Sunday...".

According to the shared results, NEW Party ranked first with 30.8 percent of the votes, while AKP came second with 29 percent. The difference between the two parties was calculated as 1.8 points.

In the survey, NEW Party's vote rate decreased by 0.7 points compared to the previous measurement, and AKP's vote rate decreased by 1.1 points.

NEW Party, which ranked first with 30.8 percent, was followed by AKP with 29 percent.

While DEM Party ranked third with 9.4 percent, MHP's vote rate was measured as 7.2 percent.

It was stated that the vote rates of DEM Party and MHP increased by 0.2 points each compared to the previous survey.

In the research, İYİ Party ranked fifth with 4.8 percent. There was a 0.2 point increase in the vote rate of the İYİ Party.

Re-Welfare Party reached 3.5 percent, CHP 3.3 percent and Victory Party 2.9 percent.

Compared to the previous survey, it was seen that the Re-Welfare Party decreased by 0.1 points, and the CHP and the Victory Party decreased by 0.3 points each.

It was announced that the vote rate of the YENİ YOL Party was 2.1 percent, the Key Party was 2 percent, and the TİP and BBP were 1 percent each.

HUDA PAR 0.5 percent; While the Democratic Party and BTP were measured at 0.4 percent of the votes each, the total of the other parties was shared at 1.7 percent.

Along with the research, a province-based election simulation prepared on the map of Türkiye was also published.

According to the shared map, AKP was ranked first in 34 provinces, YENİ Party in 33 provinces, and DEM Party in 14 provinces.

It was stated that there was no province where MHP ranked first.

On the map, it was seen that the NEW Party came to the fore in Western Anatolia, the AKP in a significant part of Central Anatolia, and the DEM Party in some provinces of Eastern and Southeastern Anatolia.

However, the map in question does not reflect an actual election result, but an election simulation prepared by the researcher.

According to the description of the research shared by Murat Kızılboğa, the study was carried out with 1420 people between 25-29 October 2026.

While it was stated that the data was collected by the CATI (Computer Aided Telephone Survey) method, it was stated that the financing of the research was covered by the participation fees of individual subscriptions.