
If supplies from the Russian Federation are stopped and LNG is limited, storage capacity may drop to 55%
AI-generated summary
The European Union is gradually reducing purchases of Russian pipeline gas, trying to replace it with other sources.
BRUSSELS, Oct 9 - RIA Novosti. The European Union risks not restoring the necessary gas reserves even by the fall of 2027, and with a complete cessation of Russian pipeline supplies and limited availability of LNG, storage capacity could reach a record low of 55%, according to the winter forecast of the European Network of Gas Transmission System Operators (ENTSOG), which was reviewed by RIA Novosti.
“In the event of a complete cessation of Russian pipeline supplies ... with limited availability of LNG, the level of storage capacity will be limited to 55%,” the report says.
According to calculations, with a complete cessation of Russian pipeline imports and sufficient supplies of LNG, European storage facilities could be 81% full by the end of September 2027, and with an increase in the availability of liquefied gas - by 88%.
However, under more realistic scenarios of limited LNG supply, this figure drops to 55%, well below the EU target of 90%.
The paper notes that low inventories following the end of the coming winter may limit the ability to restore them in the next injection season. At the same time, even an increase in LNG supplies does not always compensate for the consequences of excessive depletion of storage facilities due to technical restrictions on the injection rate.
As of October 1, 2026, European storage facilities were only 72% full, compared to 83% a year earlier. The study's authors warn that further drawdowns in cold winter conditions could pose additional risks to energy supplies in 2027-2028.
The European Union is consistently reducing purchases of Russian gas, hoping to replace it with LNG supplies and pipeline imports from other countries.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The occupancy of EU storage facilities could drop to 55% if supplies from the Russian Federation cease.
Possible · Within months

Special Representative of the Russian President Kirill Dmitriev said that the EU itself is to blame for the severe gas shortage for the coming winter, commenting on data from the US Energy Institute.

The launch of the first power unit of the Rooppur nuclear power plant in Bangladesh, which is being built according to a Russian project, is scheduled for November 20th. Previously, fuel was loaded into the reactor core.

The European Union may face a gas shortage of up to 15% in the coming winter due to severe cold and the cessation of supplies from the Russian Federation. Inventories in storage facilities fell to 72% as of October 1.

Gas inventories in Europe's underground storage could plunge to 11% by the end of the heating season if hit by Russian supply disruptions, a severe winter, and a global LNG deficit, an ENTSOG report warns.

According to the ENTSOG report, by the end of March 2027, gas reserves in EU storage facilities could fall by up to 11 percent in the event of a cold winter, reduced supplies from Russia and a shortage of liquefied natural gas. In a base case scenario, occupancy levels would be around 30 percent. LNG shortages could lead to consumption restrictions and unmet demand of 40 billion cubic meters. m, which will complicate preparations for the next heating season.

In Kyiv, after the explosions, an important energy infrastructure facility was damaged, which led to a power outage in several areas of the city. This was reported by First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Energy of Ukraine Denis Shmygal and the Ministry of Energy of Ukraine on Telegram.