
台中北屯「洲際500」預售案全數解約,專家分析建築業正進入汰換時代,大者恆大趨勢延續。
台灣房市買氣雖存,但建商資金壓力加劇。台中北屯「洲際500」預售案全數解約,且多地建商傳出倒閉或轉向高利率民間融資。專家指出,建築業正進入汰換期,資金槓桿過大者恐面臨停工或退場,市場將呈現大者恆大趨勢。
AI-generated summary
央行信用管制導致銀行對建築業審核趨嚴,建商取得土建融難度提高。部分建商因槓桿過大,被迫轉向高利率民間融資以維持營運。
從2024年至今,市場上不時傳出建商轉向民間融資公司調頭寸。
房市買氣雖未完全消失,但建商面臨的資金壓力卻逐漸浮現。台中北屯近期就出現預售案成交後全數解約的案例,「洲際500」今年3至5月曾陸續售出7戶,成交單價達5字頭,此外,這幾年從北到南皆有建商傳出倒閉,專家直言,「建商強制登出不玩後,再來就是砍帳號刪遊戲,或者把帳號賣給別人」。
「洲際500」位於台中北屯、潭子交界,距離十四期重劃區洲際棒球場約500公尺,全案規劃58戶,雖然地段條件不差,但周邊仍有農地、鐵皮工廠等環境因素,值得注意的是,該案建商過去曾向融資租賃公司借款,法院公開資料顯示,相關借款年利率達16%,今年也曾遭融資租賃公司聲請強制執行,讓外界更加關注建商的資金狀況。
馨傳不動產智庫執行長何世昌分析,從2024年至今,市場上不時傳出建商轉向民間融資公司調頭寸,利率低則約7~8%,高則可能超過10%,若再把手續費等成本算進去,實際資金成本還會更高,對建商而言,房子不是賣不掉就一定沒事,如果土地、營造及融資成本持續墊高,資金壓力仍可能先於銷售問題浮現。
何世昌直言,「建商強制登出不玩後,再來就是砍帳號刪遊戲,或者把帳號賣給別人」,近期市場上「帶照盤售」的建案也陸續增加,也就是原本的建商選擇退出,由其他業者接手後續開發。不過,他認為大建商也不一定會接,因為目前市場環境下,敢大筆加碼投入的業者有限,即使願意承接,價格也不會太漂亮。
從市場個案來看,建商經營危機近兩年已有逐步增加的跡象,2025年包括台南慶群、高雄駿信、花蓮太極及嘉義鉅泓等業者相繼退場,同年11月台中、彰化地區的「豐裕景觀」爆發財務危機,建案後續遭法拍,12月台北大安區「大安文樺」也面臨法拍,且一拍流標。
進入2026年,市場仍陸續出現相關案例,7月台南安南區「三鑫龍開發/佳佳園5」爆出跳票事件,現場人去樓空,也引發多起消費申訴。何世昌表示,央行信用管制後,銀行對建築業的資金審核更為嚴格,建商取得土建融的難度提高,加上開工期限等條件,若原本槓桿開得較大,資金調度空間就會受到壓縮,當銀行資金無法完全支應需求,業者就可能轉向成本更高的民間融資,一旦利息負擔持續累積,原本還能運作的案子,也可能面臨重新評估的局面。
他認為,接下來建築業將逐步進入汰換時代,資金條件較佳、手上現金較充裕的建商,抗壓能力相對較高;至於資金槓桿較大的業者,可能得面臨停工、出售建案或退出市場等選擇,最後能留下來的業者,反而可能享受到「生存紅利」,而建築業「大者恆大」的趨勢也仍在延續。

According to data from the German Economic Institute in Cologne, Germany's new investment in China reached 5.6 billion euros in the first half of this year, a year-on-year increase of about one-third. At the same time, German investment in the United States fell sharply. The report points out that German companies are facing competitive pressures and subsidy policies in the Chinese market and are calling on the EU to take tougher trade countermeasures.

The surge in exports from South Korea's semiconductor industry has led to a large inflow of U.S. dollars, pushing up the South Korean won's exchange rate against the U.S. dollar. This "currency paradox" has caused chip manufacturers to shrink their sales in Korean won terms, and analysts have lowered their profit forecasts and target stock prices for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.

Hong Kong-listed AI developer Z.ai plans to raise US$5 billion through a HK$15.7 billion share placement and a US$3 billion convertible-bond sale. The move follows the expiration of a 60-day lock-up period and precedes potential plans for a Shanghai Star Market listing.
Anhui Chuzhou Langya Mountain Scenic Area has realized the transformation from the traditional ticket economy to the content economy by exploring the cultural IP of Zuiwengting and launching cultural and creative products and diversified consumption scenarios. In the first eight months of this year, the scenic spot received more than 2.59 million tourists, and its cultural and creative income exceeded 2.4 million yuan.
The financial services special topic of the 2026 China International Fair for Trade in Services concluded on September 13 in Beijing. This year's special topic focuses on "AI Digital Intelligence Empowerment", bringing together 75 domestic and foreign financial institutions to showcase technological finance, cross-border finance and digital RMB applications, and promote deepening reform and international cooperation in the financial industry.

The South Korean Exchange will extend trading hours to 8 p.m. starting from the 14th, covering about 2,400 stocks in KOSPI and KOSDAQ. The new system will change after-hours trading to continuous bidding, aiming to attract international capital and improve the market's immediate response capabilities. At the same time, the plan to extend the trading hours of Taiwan stocks is not currently implemented.