
AI-generated summary
The Taipei mayoral election is coming soon, and polls have become the focus of attention for all camps. Dai Li'an is a well-known polling expert in Taiwan. His past polls have high accuracy and are valued by the media and political circles. The current mayor of Lanying, Jiang Wanan, faces a challenge from his rival Shen Boyang, and the election situation has attracted much attention.
Jiang Wanan and Yin Wei. (File photo)
The Cross-Strait Research Association and polling expert Dai Li'an released the latest poll of Taipei mayors on the 22nd. The current mayor Chiang Wanan was only slightly ahead of his opponent Shen Boyang by 1.2 percentage points, which made the Kuomintang so angry that it even questioned whether it was a fake poll. Yin Wei, the chairman of the Beijing Municipal Research and Examination Committee, who is regarded as a political confidant of Jiang Wanan and was even ridiculed as the "puppet master behind the scenes" by Green Camp supporters, said in an exclusive interview with pro-blue media in the evening that the Blue Camp internal poll showed that Jiang Wanan was still ahead of Shen Boyang by "double digits". A real-time poll was also conducted online later, and Jiang Wanan received as high as 89% support, which made netizens laugh.
Among the many polling organizations in Taiwan, Dai Li'an is widely regarded as one of the polling experts with the best reputation and credibility. His professional reputation, high accuracy, and rigorous cross-analysis have been established over the years, and his polls are highly valued in Taiwan's political and media circles. The results of several past elections have been quite close to the poll numbers he released. However, the polling numbers released this time in cooperation with the Faithful People's Association caused the Blue Camp and its supporters to collapse. They questioned that the sample was inaccurate and too extreme. Some people even directly said that it was a fake poll and accused Dalian of accepting money from the Green Camp Jade Bird.
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However, there are also many Blue Camp supporters who are very worried after seeing the numbers. This evening, Yin Wei went on a radio program hosted by media person Wang Qianqiu, claiming that the Beijing Municipal Research and Examination Committee regularly conducts policy satisfaction surveys, and Jiang Wanan's campaign team will also control internal reference polls. The lead margin and satisfaction shown by both are higher than the polls everyone saw today, and Jiang Wanan still maintains a double-digit lead. He added that the poll showed that "Blue camp supporters are 8.5 percentage points lower than Green camp supporters" and even "Blue and White combined are lower than Green camp" structure, which is inconsistent with the traditional political map and common sense understanding, and also implies that Delian's poll is not credible.
In addition, Wang Qianqiu also conducted a real-time online poll during the show. As a result, Jiang Wanan received a very high support rate of 89%, while Shen Boyang only received 7%. This set of numbers was later shared on Threads by netizens. Villagers ridiculed, "Press the ocean current on the ground and rub it. Please rest assured, Blue camp supporters, Jiang Wanan will definitely win. You can go out and have fun on the voting day." "Push and spread the word. Jiang Wanan is stable enough. Elders, please rest assured." Yin Wei, the future executive director, is running the show, how could Mayor Jiang lose?”, “Mr. Jiang is so stable in the north, really, don’t worry about going abroad!”, “I don’t have Jiang Wanan’s 100%, I don’t believe it, I don’t believe it!”, “This poll can be used to elect 2028, so vote for Shen Boyang and let Kong An elect the president!”
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Taipei mayoral election will continue to be characterized by poll disputes and attacks and defenses between camps before the voting day.
Likely · Within weeks
Netizens’ ridicule and sharing of real-time poll results will continue to ferment on social platforms.
Very likely · Within days

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