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Back趁美軍航艦空窗期先卡位 中國遼寧艦編隊乘勢東出西太平洋演訓
趁美軍航艦空窗期先卡位  中國遼寧艦編隊乘勢東出西太平洋演訓
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自由时报2 hours agoDefense2 min readChinaView translation

趁美軍航艦空窗期先卡位 中國遼寧艦編隊乘勢東出西太平洋演訓

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中國人民解放軍海軍於14日宣布遼寧艦航艦編隊赴西太平洋相關海域展開常態化訓練,強調符合國際法且不針對特定國家。此舉正值美國海軍在西太平洋島鏈防區面臨罕見航艦空窗期,僅有兩棲突擊艦部署,引發亞太各國高度關注,軍事角力預計將升溫。

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Why It Matters

中國人民解放軍海軍於14日宣布遼寧艦航艦編隊赴西太平洋相關海域展開常態化訓練,根據年度計畫組織,旨在檢驗並提升部隊實戰化訓練水平。同時,美國海軍在西太平洋島鏈防區面臨罕見航艦空窗期,華盛頓號調往中東,林肯號返回加州,僅有兩棲突擊艦部署。

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中國人民解放軍海軍於14日宣佈,「遼寧艦」航艦編隊已正式開赴西太平洋相關海域展開常態化訓練。圖為中國航空母艦「遼寧號」先前演訓畫面。(路透檔案照)

〔記者羅添斌/台北報導〕中國人民解放軍海軍於14日宣佈,「遼寧艦」航艦編隊已正式開赴西太平洋相關海域展開常態化訓練。共軍強調,這是一次根據年度計畫組織的例行性訓練,旨在檢驗並提升部隊的實戰化訓練水平,同時強調該行動完全符合國際法與國際實踐,並不針對任何特定國家。然而,這項軍事動態在時間點上相當微妙,恰逢美國海軍在西太平洋島鏈防區面臨罕見的航艦空窗期,引發亞太各國高度關注。

在護航軍艦方面,中國官方在首波宣告中並未對外透露具體的軍艦數量與詳細名單。根據過往歷史紀錄來看,遼寧艦赴西太平洋演訓的編組規模通常維持在4至8艘軍艦的區間。例如2022年5月時就曾達到8艘的歷年最大規模,當時包含了萬噸大驅南昌艦、多艘防空驅逐艦及綜合補給艦。相關人士今天研判,本次隨行護航的陣容依然會依循實戰標準,涵蓋055型驅逐艦、052D型防空驅逐艦及901型大型綜合補給艦,水面下也可能有潛艦隨行。

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美國海軍在西太平洋島鏈防區面臨罕見的航艦空窗期,僅有一艘兩棲突擊艦部署在日本。(圖:取自USNI NEWS網站)

與此同時,美國海軍在第一與第二島鏈的核心防區卻正面臨兵力大調動的短暫「空窗期」。由於中東局勢持續緊繃,原本前沿部署在日本橫須賀的華盛頓號已於8月調往中東,而剛結束10個月高強度部署的林肯號也已於10月8日返回加州聖地牙哥。雖然布希號航艦在10月9日剛結束泰國普吉島的訪問、羅斯福號也正由東向西橫越太平洋,但羅斯福號的最終目的地同樣是前往中東接替任務,在西太平洋僅會短暫停留,無法長期駐守。

為了填補大型傳統航艦的防務缺口,美軍目前在西太平洋主要依靠具備搭載F-35B戰機、人稱「閃電航艦」的大型兩棲突擊艦來維持威懾力。目前包括的黎波里號正駐紮於日本佐世保港,常態性配合美軍陸戰隊在沖繩周邊海域巡弋,而美利堅號兩棲攻擊艦也在第七艦隊轄區內進行常態輪派。這使得遼寧號航艦編隊在東出西太平洋的當下,美軍在第一島鏈核心區主要由兩棲攻擊艦在第一線駐守,形成了動態的兵力交織狀態。

對於遼寧艦編隊的精確航行軌跡、演訓科目,或是周邊國家如日本自衛隊、美國第七艦隊的最新反制部署與實時監控報告,都將持續成為焦點。面對中國海軍乘美軍調度空窗期卡位演訓的態勢,區域內的軍事角力預計將在未來幾天內進一步升溫,各方將持續密切緊盯西太平洋這片敏感海域的最新發展。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 西太平洋軍事角力將在未來幾天內進一步升溫

    Likely · Within days

  • 各方將持續密切監控遼寧艦編隊的精確航行軌跡、演訓科目及周邊國家的反制部署

    Very likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 遼寧艦編隊此次訓練的具體科目和海域範圍是什麼?
  • 隨行護航軍艦的具名艦艇有哪些?
  • 美國第七艦隊和日本自衛隊的實時監控和反制部署情況如何?
  • 此次訓練是否會導致周邊國家的軍事反應或外交抗議?

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