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Back|Global IBs raise Korea's growth outlooks on chip boom
Global IBs raise Korea's growth outlooks on chip boom
NEWS
Yonhap News·1 hour ago·Business·1 min read·🇰🇷South Korea

Global IBs raise Korea's growth outlooks on chip boom

Quick Look

Major global investment banks have raised their median growth forecast for South Korea's economy in 2026 to 3.5 percent from 3.3 percent, citing a stronger-than-expected semiconductor upcycle, according to a report by the Korea Center for International Finance.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

South Korea's economic growth forecasts have been rising steadily since April 2024, starting from 2 percent at the end of last year and increasing through monthly revisions.

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SEOUL, Oct. 7 (Yonhap) -- Major global investment banks (IBs) have upgraded their forecasts for South Korea's economic growth, citing a strong semiconductor upcycle, a report by the international finance center said Wednesday.

According to the report by the Korea Center for International Finance (KCIF), the median growth forecast by major foreign institutions for 2026 was raised to 3.5 percent in September from 3.3 percent made in August.

They have been upping their growth forecasts for the Korean economy since April this year.

The average forecast stood at 2 percent at the end of last year. It rose to 2.1 percent in January, 2.4 percent in April and 2.8 percent in May.

The upward revisions reflect expectations that the global semiconductor cycle will remain stronger and more resilient than previously anticipated.

Among IBs, JP Morgan expects the Korean economy to grow 4 percent this year, up 0.2 percentage point from a month earlier.

Citi jacked up its growth forecast to 3.8 percent from 3.7 percent over the cited period, according to the report.

UBS also raised its forecast to 3.5 percent from 2.8 percent.

For next year, the foreign IBs also raised their growth forecast to 2.8 percent, up 0.3 percentage point from a month earlier, the report showed.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • South Korea's economy will grow 4 percent in 2024 according to JP Morgan's forecast

    Likely · Within months

  • Foreign investment banks will continue to raise South Korea's growth forecasts if semiconductor strength persists

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • ?Which specific semiconductor sectors are driving the strongest growth expectations?
  • ?How do domestic South Korean institutions' forecasts compare to those of foreign investment banks?

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This article was originally published by Yonhap News.

Quick Look

Major global investment banks have raised their median growth forecast for South Korea's economy in 2026 to 3.5 percent from 3.3 percent, citing a stronger-than-expected semiconductor upcycle, according to a report by the Korea Center for International Finance.

AI-generated summary

Story signals

News tone
Positive
Emotional intensity
High
News value
Moderate
Global impact
National
Follow-up likelihood
Likely
Relevance window
Weeks

Source & Reliability

Source
Yonhap News
Source quality
Full
Published
1 hour ago
south korea
economic growth
semiconductor
south korea
JP Morgan
Citi
UBS
Korea Center for International Finance (KCIF)
Seoul
South Korea
economic growth
semiconductor
investment banks
jp morgan
citi
ubs

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