
Autumnal and dynamic scenario for the new week with heavy rains in the North-West and strong winds from Libeccio
AI-generated summary
The advancement of western currents favors the arrival of Atlantic disturbances directed towards the Mediterranean.
The new week will mark a clear change of pace compared to the previous days, offering a decidedly more dynamic and fully autumnal scenario, particularly in the first half. The advancement of the western currents will favor the arrival of a well-organized disturbance directed towards the Mediterranean basin. Federico Brescia, meteorologist at iLMeteo.it, explains that today, Monday 19 October, conditions of marked instability will be confirmed in the North-West, with locally intense phenomena which will primarily affect Western Liguria. Between Tuesday 20th and Wednesday 21st October, the entry of the very extensive Atlantic perturbed system will lead to a phase of widespread precipitation across a large part of the country.
The regions of the North-West, and in particular Liguria and Piedmont, will be exposed to continuous and abundant rainfall. By Wednesday afternoon, overall accumulations could exceed 100-150 mm in the Savonese area. With the progressive advancement of the front, by Wednesday afternoon the rainfall will extend to almost the entire national territory.
Particular attention should be paid to the Tyrrhenian sectors, Tuscany and Lazio first and foremost, which are traditionally more exposed to this type of Atlantic configurations. From Wednesday the winds will move from the western and south-western quadrants: the intense Libeccio currents which will blow at over 40 km/h could generate storm surges along the exposed coasts of Liguria and Tuscany with waves up to 3-4 meters high. From Thursday, following the transit of the disturbance, there will be a drop in minimum temperatures of around 2-4°C.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Minimum temperatures drop by 2-4°C from Thursday
Very likely · Within days

Classes will be suspended tomorrow in ten municipalities in the metropolitan area of Santiago de Chile due to bad weather and the risk of landslides. The government has declared a state of preventive climate emergency to deal with heavy rains.

Today in the North widespread clouds with rain between Liguria and Piedmont, cleared elsewhere; stable and sunny in the Center, clouds and local rain in the South. Tomorrow it will worsen in the North and Center with intense thunderstorms, on Wednesday Atlantic disturbances will affect all of Italy with the risk of flooding, landslides and snow in the Alps.

A week of instability will begin in the North-West on Monday 19 September with intense rain in Liguria and Piedmont; by Wednesday 21 September the rainfall will extend to a large part of the national territory, with accumulations of up to 150 mm in the Savona area, winds from Libeccio over 40 km/h and storm surges on the Ligurian and Tuscan coasts with waves of up to 4 metres.

A storm hit the Island of Elba this morning, causing flooding especially in Cavo, Bagnaia, Valle di Riale and Nisporto. The deputy mayor of Rio Mattia Guerrini and the president of Tuscany Eugenio Giani confirmed the civil protection interventions and the yellow warning for thunderstorms remains in force until 10am tomorrow morning.

High pressure gives way to unstable currents. Widespread rain is expected across much of Italy, with a significant worsening expected from Tuesday 20 October, especially in Liguria where intense storm systems are possible.

Since 1980, climate change has cost Europe 915 billion euros. Italy records the highest losses, equal to 147 billion. The report by ConsumerLab and Future Respect warns that the economic impact is growing sharply.