
AI-generated summary
In order to maintain balance in the region, Israel has traditionally developed a security strategy based on close relations with the United States and secret cooperation with some Arab countries. In recent years, Türkiye's increase in defense industry capacity and Pakistan's nuclear capacity have come to the fore as factors that could reshape this balance.
MİLLİYET.COM.TR / A development that may reshape the balances in the Middle East is on the agenda of the Israeli press. Analysis written by Israeli political commentator Tamir Morag on Tel Aviv-based Channel 14, "What should we be afraid of?" While focusing on the question, it was pointed out that the real striking picture may emerge in the possible scenarios of tomorrow rather than what is happening today.
'WHO WILL ACTIVATE?'
The focus of the analysis was the new triple defense line formed between Ankara, Islamabad and Riyadh. Although the latest steps taken within the scope of Saudi Arabia's fight against the Houthis may at first glance be seen as military support for a specific conflict, the Israeli commentator claimed that the emerging picture may have much broader consequences than that.
Morag said, "Because this time, we are not just talking about an agreement. With the Mecca Alliance finding a response on the ground, the inclusion of Turkey and Pakistan's military capacity in the defense of Saudi Arabia comes to the fore. The real question for Israel arises at this point: With whom will this mechanism established for Saudi Arabia today come into play when another crisis occurs tomorrow?" he said.
'MUST BE TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT'
The Israeli commentator also evaluated, "Moreover, when it comes to Turkey, it is not just the regional position that Israel needs to take into account. Turkey has the second largest army in the NATO alliance, and Ankara is also advancing unabated in the defense industry."
'IT IS NOT JUST A POSSIBILITY ANYMORE'
On the other hand, Morag stated that the possible military conflict between Türkiye and Israel has recently been discussed in the political and security circles in Tel Aviv and is no longer seen as just a theoretical possibility.
According to the Israeli commentator, the critical point is that the Mecca Alliance does not remain just a political statement.
Morag said, "As the defense cooperation between Ankara, Riyadh and Islamabad turns into concrete military steps, a new possibility comes to the table for Israel: Pakistan's involvement in a possible regional crisis involving Türkiye."
While arguing that such a scenario cannot be ignored, Morag said, "So the picture facing Israel is not limited to Türkiye's military power alone. It is the power created by a new line of defense that can stand by Türkiye."
In the analysis, it was noted that Ankara's military capacity is no longer read only in terms of personnel and platform numbers, and it was stated that "Türkiye's defense and aerospace exports will exceed 10 billion dollars in 2025, while the number of defense projects in the country has exceeded 1,400, according to the data of the Presidency of Defense Industries."
'THE POWER ON Türkiye'S SIDE'
One of the most striking parts of the analysis was the section devoted to Pakistan. While Morag described Pakistan as a serious military power, he emphasized that the country is the only Muslim power with operational nuclear weapons.
The Israeli commentator also claimed that Pakistan had the upper hand in many encounters during the clashes with India in May last year.
Morag said, "The possibility discussed is not just a possible tension with Ankara. It is an equation in which Islamabad can take part alongside Türkiye. They will undoubtedly support Turkey in any tension."
'WE SHOULD FOLLOW CLOSELY'
Morag stated that a military conflict between Türkiye and Israel is still a distant possibility. He considered a direct conflict with Pakistan as an even more distant scenario.
However, the Israeli commentator argued that the remoteness of the possibility does not mean that the newly formed axis should be ignored and said, "On the contrary, Israel should closely follow the developments between Turkey, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia and form its own regional alliance against this."
'IT IS NOT TODAY, BUT TOMORROW'
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Israel will strengthen its regional alliances by monitoring the developments regarding the Türkiye-Pakistan-Saudi Arabia triad.
Likely · Within months

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