
A GDP increase of 0.9% is expected in 2026 and 0.6% in 2027. Domestic demand is the main driver of growth.
AI-generated summary
Istat prepares macroeconomic estimates for the coming years based on the trend in domestic and foreign demand.
In 2026 and 2027, Italian GDP is expected to grow by 0.9% and 0.6% respectively, after +0.6% in 2025. This was revealed by Istat, according to which economic growth would be supported by domestic demand net of inventories (+1.2 percentage points contribution in 2026 and +0.6 in 2027). Net foreign demand would instead provide a zero contribution in 2026 and a slightly positive contribution in 2027.
The growing trend in raw material prices should fuel an acceleration of inflation: the change in the household spending deflator would stand at +3.3% in 2026 and then decline to +2.8% in 2027.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Italian GDP growth at 0.9% in 2026 and 0.6% in 2027
Likely · Within years

The INPS has clarified that the equalization of pensions with the new six-band mechanism will be applied from the January 2027 installment for all pensioners, with any subsequent adjustments to adapt to the rules being examined by Parliament.

EasyJet strengthens its presence at Milan Linate by bringing the number of directly operated aircraft to five thanks to the end of the 'wet lease' with ITA, creating around 80 new jobs and confirming itself as the second company at the airport.

A survey by Teha and Patrigest reveals that 55% of Italians consider their income inadequate and 44% are unable to save. In the face of economic pressures, selective consumption, the centrality of personal well-being and the use of artificial intelligence are growing.

INPS will apply pension equalization from January 2027 with increases visible immediately for all pensioners. Any differences will be settled with a subsequent adjustment.

European stock markets move in no particular order after a positive start. Frankfurt leads the increases (+0.46%) thanks to the decline in German inflation, while Milan and Madrid slow down (-0.15%). Semiconductors and electrical equipment in the spotlight, banking stocks weak.

Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti warned that with current energy costs it is impossible to compete at an international level, commenting on the alarm raised by Federacciai regarding the shutdown of the steel plants.