
AI-generated summary
El Nino is a climate phenomenon caused by abnormally warming sea surface temperatures in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean. This phenomenon disrupts weather patterns around the world, causing excessive rainfall and floods in some regions and drought and extreme heat in others. WMO makes seasonal climate forecasts by monitoring such events.
Celeste Saulo, Secretary General of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), stated that there is almost a 100 percent chance that the El Nino weather event will last until February 2027.
The report titled Global Seasonal Climate Update published by WMO included temperature and precipitation forecasts for the October-December period.
"Sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific are predicted to rise to record levels in October, November and December. This indicates the strengthening of the El Nino weather phenomenon, which will direct weather patterns around the world and affect economies, ecosystems and societies," the report said. expressions were used.
The report noted that El Nino, which causes an increase in temperature, will continue to increase its intensity before reaching its expected peak in December, and emphasized that this situation is likely to cause temperatures to remain above average in most of the world and increase the risk of drought and floods in different regions by changing precipitation patterns.
The report noted that sea surface temperature values in the central and eastern Equatorial Pacific, the region at the center of El Niño, were on average 1.6 degrees above normal in June, and that these values showed a significant increase in August, reaching 2.5 degrees above normal.
The report stated that the world experienced the hottest August on record, according to the monthly reports of the European Union (EU) Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and NASA, and said, "Global sea surface temperature reached the highest level ever observed in August." expressions were used.
The report predicts that there is a high probability that temperatures will be above average (in the 1993-2009 period) in large regions in the October-December period. "This does not mean that temperatures will be above average every day in every region, but it points to a strong seasonal signal that increases the likelihood of extreme temperature events and temperature-related effects." evaluation was made.
WMO Secretary General Celeste Saulo, whose views are included in the report, stated that El Nino is well established and is rapidly strengthening.
"WMO forecasts show there is an almost 100 percent chance that the El Nino weather event will last until February 2027 and could be one of the strongest El Nino events since at least 1950," Saulo said. he said.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
El Nino weather phenomenon will last until February 2027
Very likely · Within months
This El Nino event will be one of the strongest El Nino events since the 1950s
Likely · Within months

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