The Parti Québécois wins the elections in Quebec, promises a referendum on independence and the abolition of the monarchy
Quick Look
- The Parti Québécois, led by Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon, won the Quebec elections with around 28% of the vote, without an absolute majority.
- He promises to organize a new referendum on independence after January 2029 and to abolish the monarchy in Quebec, in a context of trade tensions between Canada and the United States.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Parti Québécois had not led the province since 2014. Referendums on Quebec independence took place in 1980 and 1995, both lost by the “yes” camp. The idea of a new referendum returns to the center of the debate after thirty years of absence.
The Parti Québécois separatists won elections in the French-speaking province on Monday where they promise to organize a new referendum on independence, a test for Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's message of unity in the midst of a trade conflict with Washington. The head of this formation, Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon, a 49-year-old lawyer nicknamed “PSPP”, will be the new prime minister of the province with very broad skills and a population of 9 million inhabitants. When the results were announced, his supporters gathered in Montreal sang “Quebec, one country”, a famous independence slogan. With around 28% of the votes, according to almost final results, he will not, however, have an absolute majority, which will complicate the implementation of his program.
“PSPP” promised in particular to organize a new referendum on the independence of Quebec, but specified that it would wait until the end of Donald Trump's mandate in January 2029 because the current escalation of the trade conflict between the United States and Canada does not offer “a serene climate in which to think about our future”.
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The return to power of the Parti Québécois, which had not led the province since 2014, is not good news for Mark Carney as no solution to the trade conflict with Washington is in sight and he is faced with other separatist desires in Alberta. This rich oil province in western Canada must vote on October 19 to decide whether or not to organize a future independence referendum. “Building a stronger Quebec is at the heart of our mission to build a stronger Canada,” declared Mr. Carney, in a message on his X account, saying he “looked forward to working” with the new leader of Quebec “to support Quebec businesses and workers affected by American customs duties.”
Also read: Quebec sovereignists at the gates of power
“Abolish the monarchy”
If it takes place, the referendum promised by the Parti Québécois would be the third organized in Quebec after those of 1980 and 1995. The last was narrowly lost by the “yes” camp for independence. The question of independence has always deeply divided Quebec between “sovereignists” wanting to separate from Canada and “federalists”. But the idea of a new referendum returns for the first time in thirty years to the center of political debate.
The fact remains that if the independence camp exceeds the Parti Québécois alone, the proportion of Quebecers ready to vote “yes” to a separation from Canada is only 31%, according to a recent survey. According to analysts, the vote for the independence party was fueled more by voters' disappointment with the outgoing government on the cost of living or health, than by a desire for independence. Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon has already suggested that he sees his relationship with Ottawa as a “balance of power”. If Quebec is not “respected (...) I will not sweep under the rug the fact that it is not acceptable,” he said last week.
Another subject of contention, “PSPP” also promised to “abolish the monarchy” in Quebec, that is to say, to cut off the funds of the representative of the British crown in the province, whose role, in particular to promulgate Quebec laws, is nevertheless enshrined in the Canadian Constitution. Canada is a member of the Commonwealth and its head of state is Charles III. It’s a “masquerade that costs money,” denounced the independence leader who wants to use these funds to reduce the number of homeless people.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Parti Québécois will organize a referendum on the independence of Quebec after January 2029.
Likely · Within years
The Parti Québécois will continue its efforts to abolish the monarchy in Quebec.
Likely · Within months
Open Questions
- Will the Parti Québécois be able to form a government without an absolute majority?
- What will be the impact of the promise to abolish the monarchy on Quebec institutions?
- How will the Canada-United States trade conflict evolve by 2029?
- Will Alberta continue with its independence referendum plan?





