
AI-generated summary
The 2022 Brazilian presidential election sees Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva seeking re-election against several opponents, including Flavio Bolsonaro. In previous polls Lula maintained an advantage in both the first round and run-off scenarios.
Constantly declining in the polls in recent weeks, Brazilian president and re-election candidate Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva loses his lead for the first time in the run-off projections for next October's elections to his main opponent, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro. This is what emerges from the latest survey carried out by the AtlasIntel institute for Bloomberg. According to the latest survey, Bolsonaro appears with 46.4% of the preferences against 46.2 for the head of state. Lula would also be second in comparison with the former governor of Minas Gerais, Romeu Zema (46.2% against 46%) and tied with the former governor of Goias Ronaldo Caiado with 45.5%. Lula's advantage increases against Augusto Cury (43.8% to 41.1%) and against Renan Santos (43.8% to 41.1%). The situation is reversed in the first round, where Lula remains ahead in all scenarios. The president garners 43% of voting intentions, ahead of Bolsonaro at 37.4%. Followed by Augusto Cury at 6.6%, Renan Santos at 6.5%, Romeu Zema at 2.1% and Ronaldo Caiado at 1.1%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Flavio Bolsonaro will maintain or increase his lead in run-off polls in the coming weeks
Possible · Within weeks

The centre-right majority approves a unitary amendment to the electoral law in the Senate which reintroduces preferences from 1992 with blocked leaders, rejecting the opposition's amendments. Despite the compactness, internal tensions emerge over gender quotas and the increase in signatures required to enter Parliament, defined as 'caste scam norm' by Giuseppe Conte. The climate remains tense, with accusations of exploitation on both sides.

The Senate approved the joint majority amendment which reintroduces preferential voting with leaders blocked in the reform of the electoral law, with 97 votes in favour, 67 against and 2 abstentions. All the opposition's proposed changes were rejected except one unanimously approved drafting technique. The text provides for up to three preferences with gender alternation and abolishes the 60-40 gender quota for the leaders foreseen by the Rosatellum. Fratelli d'Italia claims the initiative, while the left is accused of exploitation by exponents of the centre-right. The reform also provides for the increase in the signatures required for new political formations from 1,500 to 9,000 and the possible cancellation of the threshold for contributing to the majority bonus in the anti-bush law.

The Italian government extends the 17-cent-per-liter tax discount on diesel until September 17 with a new 85 million euro decree-law, which also includes measures to accelerate research and extraction permits for gas and oil. Prime Minister Meloni announces new fuel measures for next week, aiming to reduce foreign dependence and ensure national energy security, while the daily cost of the discount amounts to approximately 13 million euros.

The Senate approved a majority amendment that reintroduces preferences with leaders blocked in the electoral law, rejecting almost all the opposition's proposed changes. The text provides for up to three preferences with gender alternation and increases the signatures required for new political formations not present in Parliament from 1,500 to 9,000. The final vote is scheduled for Tuesday 15th, while the text will pass to the Chamber on the 28th.

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni states on social media that preferences in voting for Parliament are back after almost 35 years, reintroduced by the centre-right on a proposal from the Brothers of Italy, and criticizes the left for never having wanted them in the past.

The Senate rejected the PD's sub-amendment which called for the introduction of preferential voting. After internal tensions, the centre-right majority has found unity again. New rules on signatures for lists have been approved and the premium threshold of 42% has been confirmed.