The majority of voters believe that Andersson will fail

Magdalena Andersson has already been voted down once as a candidate for prime minister. Subsequently, C leader Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist met the same fate. Right now it is the Moderates' Ulf Kristersson who has the speaker's task of probing whether he has the opportunity to form a government.

But, as the M leader himself stated when he took on the task on Tuesday: the math is against him. The parties that want Magdalena Andersson still gather a majority of the Riksdag's mandate, 176 against 173.

The unsolved question is how this majority will become a functioning government basis that agrees on both substantive policy and the distribution of ministerial positions. Most likely, Magdalena Andersson will have the opportunity to make another attempt.

A majority of voters don't think she's up to it. In a survey carried out by DN/Ipsos, 57 percent answer no to the question of whether the S leader gets the support required to take office as prime minister. The percentage who judge that Magdalena Andersson succeeds is 33 percent.

- Those who believe that she is unable to form a government are almost twice as many, says Nicklas Källebring, opinion analyst at Ipsos.

What judgments one makes is to a large extent connected to one's own political sympathies. More than eight out of ten right-wing voters believe that the S leader is failing. Among those who vote for S, V or MP, around six out of ten, on the contrary, give her good chances.

- The numbers are actually highest among the voters of the Left Party and the Green Party. It is clear that they have not given up on the possibilities, says Nicklas Källebring.

The centrists are more ambivalent. Here, roughly four out of ten predict success for the S-leader and almost as many predict defeat.

The bottom line is that the red-green voters have different wishes about what a successful government formation should result in. An analysis of DN/Ipsos data shows that V sympathizers prefer a three-party government without C, while a majority of those who vote for S or MP want C to be included as well.

Among the center voters, the most popular option is a middle variant where Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist is paired with both Magdalena Andersson and Ulf Kristersson.

- It illustrates how complicated this is. It is not that simple that all voters who belong to the winning side are positive that all four parties are part of a future government, says Nicklas Källebring.

The survey was conducted before party leader Jimmie Åkesson's announcement on Friday that the Sweden Democrats are dropping their demand for ministerial positions and going into full opposition. Subsequently, the M leader Ulf Kristersson has had his probe mission extended by the speaker. C has demanded that the Social Democrats and the Moderates come back with information at the end of next week about who has the best chance of forming a government that the Center Party can accept.