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The Marmara earthquake expectation has been on Türkiye's agenda for a long time. Different scientific evaluations are made about the behavior of fault lines and the possibility of earthquakes.
While discussions continue in the scientific world regarding the expected Marmara earthquake, Prof. Dr. A game-changing up-to-date evaluation came from Osman Bektaş. Pointing out that the fault lines in the region are losing energy, Bektaş stated that the possibility of a devastating earthquake of magnitude 7 or more in Marmara is gradually weakening.
"THE FAIL IS NOT A ONE PIECE, IT DOES NOT PRODUCE ENERGY EVERYWHERE"
Sharing the new findings regarding the structure of the Main Marmara Fault, Prof. Dr. Bektaş emphasized that the fault does not consist of a single, complete line with a length of 125 kilometers. The fault line, which has a fragmented fracture structure, is not locked homogeneously at every point along its length and depth, and therefore does not produce earthquake energy at the same rate in every region.
ENERGY OUTPUT IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL MARMARA
Referring to the results of recent scientific studies, Bektaş drew a new picture in which the entire scientific world, including the German school, agreed. Stating that the fault does not remain locked and consumes energy, especially in the Western and Central Marmara, the expert stated that this situation reduces the accumulated stress and reduces the severity of a possible earthquake. These new data completely discard the old classical views that the Marmara Fault is locked in a single plane.
"THE RISK HAS NOT ELIMINATED, BUT IT IS SERIOUSLY WEAKING"
It is underlined that these current findings significantly reduce the fault's potential to produce a very large earthquake at once. Prof. commented that the movements of nature cannot be predicted with certainty. Dr. Bektaş said, "Instead of saying that it completely prevents the possibility, it is more accurate to say that it greatly weakens the possibility of a major earthquake." he said.

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The expectation of a magnitude 7 earthquake in the Marmara Region caused controversy in the scientific world. Experts stated that the faults in the region consume energy and this reduces the possibility of a major earthquake. Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş explained that the Main Marmara fault is not a single fault, it is fragmented and this limits the earthquake energy production.

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