Morocco will not attack Ceuta and Melilla despite tensions with Spain, article warns

There are those who are expressing in these sad days the bad relations that Sanchismo certainly has with the United States and Israel to paint on social networks a Morocco willing to take advantage of Spain's international loneliness by taking Ceuta and Melilla by arms. But it is the very 'hybrid war' that is talked about so much that currently rules out that possibility, which does not mean that such 'warlike hybridity' does not have its effectiveness and its danger.

No. I do not minimize the seriousness of the Ceuta episode that mobilized hundreds of thousands of Spaniards the day before yesterday. What I am saying is that it is not only our country that offers weaknesses. Our bad neighbor also has them. The weakest point that Morocco has today lies, paradoxically, in its economic strength, in the great industrial, commercial and infrastructural development that it has experienced in recent years.

Mohamed VI wants to sell himself to the United States, Israel and Europe itself as a brake on Islam and a stabilizing agent in the region. It is this advertising operation that provides effective aid for its development on these three sides. With the 'American friend' it has been a preferred partner since the 2004 Free Trade Agreement. With Israel, cooperation has been close since the Abraham Accords of 2020. And from the European Union it receives, through the EIB and all the money it collects from its emigration, financing for highways, railways and other infrastructure that today makes Rabat a city comparable to those of the first world.

Yes, all that good image that Mohamed VI has taken care to cultivate, project and make profitable would fall to the ground if he started an armed confrontation with a country of the European Union like Spain, no matter how discredited it is today in the eyes of its partners on the continent. The price of such an initiative would be too expensive for Morocco. It would show its most hostile face and make the investment flee because no one wants a violent, disloyal or problematic partner. It is on this weak point that Spain must work thoroughly.