Italian real estate market: Rome leads subsidized purchases, growing rents
Quick Look
- Rome records an increase of 0.4% in real estate sales, Milan remains stable and Florence loses 8.3%.
- Rome leads with over 85% of subsidized purchases, followed by Genoa and Bologna.
- Rents grow by 3.1% on an annual basis, with significant increases in Rome and Milan.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Italian real estate market shows mixed signals between sales and rentals, with Rome leading the subsidized purchases. The ECB recently increased interest rates to combat inflation, influencing families' spending decisions.
If you look at the main Italian cities, you can see that Rome recorded a +0.4%, while Milan is stuck at 0 (there was only one more sale compared to 2025). Florence is in difficulty and loses 8.3%.
Still looking at the larger urban centers, we can also see that Rome is the city with the highest share of subsidized home purchases, over 85%. Genoa follows with 80% and in third place is Bologna with 78%.
Purchases assisted by mortgages remain significantly below 50% of the national total, standing at 46.6%. In Rome, Bologna, Milan and Florence, however, a mortgage was registered for more than half of the operations.
For further information:
Mortgage rates, the most expensive regions according to the Bank of Italy's ranking
Then there is the chapter of rents. In the quarter examined, rentals saw 248 thousand contracts, with an annual growth of 3.1%. The overall volume of annual fees agreed in the contracts reaches almost 1.7 billion euros, an increase of 6.3% compared to the same period in 2025.
In the capital there were 13 thousand new contracts, with a trend growth of just above 6%, accompanied by an increase in the overall annual rent of 9.6%.
Even in Milan the number of new rentals continues to grow, reaching approximately 13,700 units, almost 7% more than in the same quarter of 2025. The overall annual rent agreed in the new contracts is also increasing, by almost 6%.
Returning to sales, an increase in interest rates has been recorded for some months. And a few days ago, on September 10, the European Central Bank, as expected, raised rates again by a quarter of a percentage point. Inflation certainly weighs on the decision, which jumped to 3.3% in August and to the highest since September 2023, with the rush of gas and oil. The new tightening came after that of June and after the break in July.
The new increase of 25 basis points in the reference rates decided by the ECB Board of Directors in the last meeting "is destined to have repercussions on the attitude of families towards the housing project", explains Nomisma. "Moreover, during phases characterized by high uncertainty, with upward risks for inflation and downward risks for economic growth, families traditionally tend to adopt a particularly prudent attitude and to postpone, as far as possible, the most burdensome spending commitments, such as the purchase of a property".
"This is also linked to the preference shown by Italians for the fixed rate", highlights Nomisa, "which, at the moment, characterizes around 9 out of 10 mortgages, as a form of protection against any further rate increases.
For further information:
Mortgages, the ECB raises rates again: what happens to the installments now
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Italian families will continue to prefer fixed rate mortgages to protect themselves from future increases in interest rates
Likely · Within months
The rental market will continue to grow in the main Italian cities at least in the short term
Likely · Within months
Open Questions
- How long will the ECB's rate increase policy continue?
- What will be the long-term impact on real estate purchases in Italian cities?
- How will the rental market evolve in the coming quarters?







