North Texas vs. Tulsa: Odds, predictions, and game preview

The North Texas Mean Green take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane as they kick off American Conference play on Thursday night. North Texas is coming off a 63-14 win over Houston Christian on Saturday, while Tulsa dropped a 34-6 decision at Arkansas. The Mean Green (2-2), who tied for first at 7-1 in the American and were 12-2 overall in 2025, are 0-2 on the road this season. The Golden Hurricane (3-1), who were 13th at 1-7 in the conference and 4-8 overall a year ago, are 2-0 on their home field in 2026. Tulsa quarterback Baylor Hayes (knee) is questionable.

Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Okla. UNT has won each of the last three matchups. The Golden Hurricane are 1.5-point home favorites, with the over/under at 57.5 in the latest Tulsa vs. North Texas odds. Before making any North Texas vs. Tulsa picks, check out the North Texas vs. Tulsa predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

After simulating North Texas vs. Tulsa 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Under 57.5 points at betting apps. Tulsa is much improved over last season and has a 24-10 win over Oklahoma State in Week 1 to bolster its resume. Both of these teams can put up points, but Tulsa has played some tough defense so far this season. In fact, the Under has hit in each of the Golden Hurricane's last five games.

Tulsa has a one-two punch at running back with seniors Damari Alston and Trequan Jones. Alston has 45 carries for 213 yards and four touchdowns, while Jones has 29 carries for 196 yards and two touchdowns. North Texas quarterback Tayven Jackson has completed 74.2% of his passes for 1,187 yards and six touchdowns with two picks. SportsLine's model is projecting 54 points in this one, making the Under the value pick in 54% of simulations.

In addition to going Under on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.