
AI-generated summary
The Secret Harbour state byelection in Western Australia was triggered by the mid-term retirement of senior Labor minister Paul Papalia. The seat was previously considered a safe Labor seat, but One Nation's Luke Herdegen has gained significant traction with voters concerned about cost-of-living pressures, housing issues, and perceived lack of community amenities.
One Nation has claimed victory in the Secret Harbour state byelection in Western Australia
With 74.5% of the vote counted, One Nation’s Luke Herdegen leads Labor’s Georgia Tree 57-42 after preferences.
One Nation’s WA leader Rod Caddies claimed victory at 9:30pm local time saying the result showed there were “no safe Labor seats in this state or in this country anymore” and that it would send “shock waves across the entire country”.
Voters in the safe Labor seat cast their ballots on Saturday after senior minister Paul Papalia’s mid-term retirement triggered the contest.
Luke Herdegen has been buoyed by a sea of orange across polling booths in the beachside electorate, south of Perth.
“The vibe has been really strong for the last six weeks,” he said.
WA Premier Roger Cook wasn’t throwing in the towel but conceded it would be a battle to hold the outer-suburban mortgage-belt electorate.
“It would break my heart,” he said when asked about defeat.
“By-elections bring up all kinds of opportunities for a whole range of issues to impact on the seat.”
On the ground in Secret Harbour, Labor was on the nose, with cost-of-living pressures, housing and a perceived lack of community amenities topping lists of voter concerns.
Local Luke Pors voted for One Nation and believes it will do a better job than either Labor or Liberal.
“We know what their true goal is and I think just in One Nation we trust,” he said.
The Qantas flight attendant was also impressed by Herdegen’s campaign.
“He’s like a home buddy and as obviously a youngie; we can really connect with him,” he said.
Retirees Ann and Les Scard also voted One Nation.
“It has been a pretty strong campaign by Luke Herdegen,” Les Scard said. “He deserves a chance.
“I get the impression Liberal and Labor are desperate; they’re doing everything to try and discredit them and I don’t think they’re being successful.”
Ann Scard isn’t concerned by One Nation’s controversial immigration policy.
“I agree with a lot of what Pauline Hanson says,” she said. “Something has to be done, it’s just all askew.”
Herdegen said people were desperate for change.
“They’re struggling with cost of living; there’s a major housing issue here with the mass immigration coming through and people have just had enough,” he said.
Retired truck driver Dean Maxwell isn’t so sure. He voted Labor.
“I didn’t vote for One Nation, I put them last,” he said. “I just don’t see any good policy.
“I don’t like any of the pollies but I particularly don’t like Pauline Hanson. I think she’s in Gina Rinehart’s pocket.”
One Nation’s performance in the tradie-haven will be of interest across the nation, particularly Victoria, which has a state election in November.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
One Nation will gain increased support and momentum in the upcoming Victorian state election in November
Likely · Within months
The Labor Party will reassess its campaign strategy and policy focus in response to losing the Secret Harbour seat
Very likely · Within weeks
Cost of living, housing, and community amenities will remain key voter concerns in Western Australian politics
Very likely · Within months
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One Nation's Luke Herdegen won the Secret Harbour by-election in Perth's south, defeating Labor in a traditionally safe seat. The victory was celebrated early by the party as an 'orange tsunami' signaling a threat to both major parties, though analysts caution by-election results may not translate to general elections. Labor acknowledged missteps and voter frustration over cost-of-living issues, while the Liberals were seen as unlikely contenders. The result highlights growing voter discontent and poses a test for One Nation's ability to sustain momentum beyond Western Australia.
One Nation's Luke Herdegen won the Western Australian state by-election in Secret Harbour, securing the party's first lower house seat in the state after a significant swing in traditionally safe Labor territory, with both major party leaders commenting on the result's implications for Australian politics.
One Nation candidate Luke Herdegen secured the party's first lower house seat in Western Australia by winning the traditionally Labor-held seat of Secret Harbour, marking a significant political shift in the state.
One Nation claims victory in the Secret Harbour by-election, marking a potential first lower house seat in Western Australia. The result represents a significant swing against Labor in a traditionally safe seat, drawing national attention to the party's campaign.