2027 presidential election: 46% of Muslims plan to leave France if Marine Le Pen is elected

Impressive figures and radical reactions. A significant proportion of French people are worried about the repercussions on their daily lives that a victory for Marine Le Pen in the next presidential election could have, according to a new Ifop survey for Marianne. This study gives food for thought to those who see the victory of the leader of the National Rally as an obstacle to national cohesion.

Exile as a fallback solution

On October 7, Medef President Patrick Martin assured that he would leave France in the event of Jean-Luc Mélenchon's victory. But Marine Le Pen could also provoke the exile of certain French people. 21% of them plan to leave France if the boss of RN deputies in the Assembly was elected on May 2. Nearly half of our Muslim fellow citizens (46%) say they could leave for another country. Just like 44% of French people of Jewish faith, who consider the coming to power of the flame party as a potential factor triggering their departure.

A phenomenon that François Kraus, director of the Politics/News division at Ifop, qualifies in Marianne's columns with regard to the Jews: "It is not negligible, but perhaps less linked to Lepenism as such than to the instability created by an RN victory." Jean-Luc Mélenchon, however, remains, according to the same survey, the first danger for secularism (43%) ahead of Marine Le Pen (35%). Furthermore, moving abroad is also a possible option for 40% of members of Generation Z (14-29 years old).

A potential obstacle to religious practice also arouses apprehension among some French people. Two thirds of them fear an increase in attacks and discrimination against followers of their religion, a figure even reaching 80% among Muslims. This fear pushes 27% of them to want to limit the wearing of visible religious symbols in public spaces, such as the hijab.

Civil disobedience acclaimed