2027 presidential election: Christine Lagarde credited with 14% in the first round if she is a candidate

Christine Lagarde collects 14% of voting intentions and thus overtakes Édouard Philippe if she enters the race for the Élysée, according to a poll published Wednesday. The resigning president of the ECB, who will leave office at the beginning of February, had until now never been tested by a polling institute.

In a scenario where she replaced Horizons candidate Édouard Philippe, she would receive 14% of voting intentions against the same opponents, compared to 13.5% for the mayor of Le Havre, according to a Cluster 17 poll for Politico. “It is rather well received by central voters,” notes Jean-Yves Dormagen, president of the Cluster 17 institute. But “all this confirms the very strong liquidity of the central space,” he adds.

Mélenchon above 20%

In this hypothesis, Jean-Luc Mélenchon exceeds 20% for the first time (20.5%), still far behind Marine Le Pen (30.5%). At the end of September, Christine Lagarde assured in an interview with the newspaper La Croix that a presidential candidacy would “not be a good idea at all”. “First there is a question of vitality, energy, strength. There is also a sense of inevitable sacrifice in this type of commitment. And I'm 70 years old..."

In the scenario where Édouard Philippe remains the center candidate, the former Prime Minister shows a decline compared to the end of October (13.5% against 16%), according to the poll. Bruno Retailleau (LR), supporter of a primary to decide between the candidate of the right and the center, lost 2 points to 5%. David Lisnard, mayor of Cannes, received 10% of the voting intentions, whether he was facing Christine Lagarde, Édouard Philippe or Gabriel Attal.